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Trump’s promises should prompt major rethink of Canadian energy policy

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4 minute read

From the Fraser Institute

By Elmira Aliakbari and Julio Mejía

In three weeks, the United States will have a new president. And despite Donald Trump’s pledge to “unleash” the American oil and gas sector by cutting red tape and accelerating permit approvals, the Trudeau government remains committed to constraining Canada’s oil and gas industry. The result? More investment to the U.S. and less to Canada. To prevent Canada from falling further behind the U.S., the government must reverse harmful policies that drive investors away.

Even before Trump’s victory, Canada’s oil and gas sector was less attractive for investment compared to the U.S. According to a 2023 survey of oil and gas investors, 68 per cent of respondents said uncertainty about environmental regulations deters investment in Canada’s oil and gas sector compared to 41 per cent in the U.S. And 54 per cent said Canada’s regulatory duplication and inconsistencies deter investment compared to only 34 per cent for the U.S.

This negative perception reflects years of policy decisions that have consistently undermined Canada’s oil and gas industry. To name a few.

In 2016, just one year after taking office, the Trudeau government cancelled the Northern Gateway pipeline from Alberta to British Columbia’s coast. The $7.9 billion project, previously approved by the Harper government, would have expanded market access and boosted exports to Asia.

In 2017, the TransCanada energy company withdrew its application for the Energy East and Eastern Mainline pipelines from Alberta and Saskatchewan to the east coast, which would have expanded access to European markets. The projects became economically unfeasible after the Trudeau government required the company to account for greenhouse gas emissions from oil production and consumption—not just transportation, a requirement that was never part of prior environmental assessments. (Incidentally, that same year Prime Minister Trudeau vowed to “phase out” fossil fuels in Canada.)

In 2019, the Trudeau government enacted Bill C-69, which introduced subjective criteria—including the “social impact” and “gender implications” of projects—into the evaluation of major energy projects, creating significant uncertainty. That same year, the government passed Bill C-48, which bans large oil tankers from B.C.’s northern coast, further limiting access to Asian markets.

In 2023, the Trudeau government announced plans to cap oil and gas sector emissions at 35 per cent below 2019 levels by 2030—while leaving other sectors in the economy untouched. This will likely force energy producers to limit production. And the government’s new methane regulations and rules, which require fuel producers to reduce emissions, have added to the sector’s costs and regulatory challenges.

Predictably, these policy decisions have taken a toll. Investment in the oil and gas sector plummeted over the last decade, from $84.0 billion in 2014 to $37.2 billion in 2023 (inflation adjusted)—a 56 per cent drop. Less investment means less money to develop new energy projects, infrastructure and technologies, and consequently fewer jobs and less economic opportunity for Canadians across the country, especially in Alberta, which has been a destination for workers seeking high wages and more opportunity.

Now in 2025, Trump wants to attract investment by streamlining processes and cutting costs while Canada drives investment away with restrictive and costly regulations. If Ottawa continues on this path, Canada’s leading industry—and largest source of exports—will lose more ground to the U.S. To restore our competitiveness and attract investment, the federal government must rethink its approach to the energy sector and scrap the harmful policies that will hurt Canadians today and in the future.

Elmira Aliakbari

Elmira Aliakbari

Director, Natural Resource Studies, Fraser Institute

Julio Mejía

Policy Analyst

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Business

Trudeau still refusing to recall Parliament despite ongoing Trump tariff threats

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From LifeSiteNews

By Clare Marie Merkowsky

While Trump has delayed imposing tariffs for 30 days, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is demanding Justin Trudeau recall Parliament as the threat of a trade war looms.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is still refusing to reopen Parliament despite the growing tensions between Canada and the United States.  

This week, Canadians pleaded with Trudeau to resume Parliament following the now-delayed 25% tariffs on Canadian exports that were set to be implemented on Tuesday by U.S. President Donald Trump. Despite the economic threat, Trudeau continued to deny the need for the reopening of the legislature.

“This is a moment where we need to set aside our differences and focus on delivering for Canadians, standing up for Canadians,” Trudeau told reporters on Saturday.   

“We’re going through a difficult time right now,” he continued. “Emotions may run high here and there.”  

“Will you recall Parliament?” asked a reporter.  

“We have the tools,” replied Trudeau, suggesting such a recall is unnecessary.

On Saturday, Trump said an unprecedented 25 percent tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico would soon be coming. Canadian oil and gas exports, as well as electricity exports that the U.S. imports in abundance, would be subject to a 10 percent tariff. Of note is that Trump enacted only a 10 percent tariff on goods from China.   

Fortunately for Canadians, on Monday the country was given a 30-day reprieve from the tariffs by Trump after Trudeau promised to increase border security and crack down on fentanyl at the border.

Trudeau noted that Canada was implementing a “$1.3 billion border plan — reinforcing the border with new choppers, technology and personnel, enhanced coordination with our American partners, and increased resources to stop the flow of fentanyl.” 

“In addition, Canada is making new commitments to appoint a Fentanyl czar, we will list cartels as terrorists, ensure 24/7 eyes on the border, launch a Canada- U.S. Joint Strike Force to combat organized crime, fentanyl and money laundering,” Trudeau said. 

Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre pointed out that while Canadians are relieved to hear the tariffs will be paused, Parliament must resume so Canada can plan their response after the 30-day reprieve.  

“Like Canadians across the country, Conservatives are relieved to hear that there will be a one month pause on tariffs from the United States that would have hurt workers, families and businesses on both sides of the border,” he wrote on X.   

 

“But this is not a time to sit back. We must urgently work to strengthen Canada’s economy and do everything we can to ensure these tariffs are never brought in,” Poilievre continued.   

“Liberals must recall Parliament NOW and put country over Party so that we can put Canada First,” he declared.

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Banks

The Great Exodus from the Net Zero Banking Alliance has arrived

Published on

From the Canadian Energy Centre

By Gina Pappano

Next, we need a Great Exodus from net zero ideology

In 2021, all of Canada’s Big Five Banks – TD, CIBC, BMO, Scotiabank and RBC – signed onto the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) and the Net Zero Banking Alliance (NZBA).

U.N.-sponsored and Mark Carney-led, GFANZ is a sector-wide umbrella coalition whose goal is to accelerate global decarbonization and the emergence of a worldwide net zero global economy.

But now, in the first month of 2025, four of Canada’s Big Five Banks – TD, CIBC, BMO and Scotiabank – have announced their decision to exit the NZBA.

This came on the heels of similar announcements by six of the biggest U.S. banks – Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo as well as the investment firm BlackRock leaving the Asset Management subgroup of the GFANZ.

That group, the Net Zero Asset Managers Initiative, has now suspended operations altogether, and the GFANZ and all of its subgroups are falling like a house of cards.

At InvestNow, the not-for-profit that I lead, we’re considering these developments a victory and a vindication of our work.

In November of 2024, we submitted shareholder proposals to Canada’s Big Five banks asking them to leave both the NZBA and the GFANZ. As of this writing, all but one of them have done just that.

But this is only a partial victory.

When they signed on to the NZBA, the banks pledged to align their lending, investment and banking activities with decarbonization goals, including achieving net zero emissions by 2050. They pledged to focus on higher emitting sectors first and foremost. In practice, this means they would be setting their sights on Canada’s natural resource sector.

That’s because the net zero ideology motivating these groups requires the drastic reduction of oil and gas production and use over a comparatively short period of time.

That is a serious threat to Canada since we’ve been blessed with an abundance of natural resources. Hydrocarbon energy has become the backbone of our economy, and the war being waged against it has already made our lives harder and more expensive. Left unchecked, these difficulties will compound, with ruinous results.

In joining the NZBA, the Big Five Banks agreed to divest from oil and gas, eliminating projects and companies from the investment pool simply because of the sector they work in, as part of a long-term goal of totally decarbonizing the economy.

Presumably, having left the Alliance, those banks could now change course, increasing investment in and lending to oil and gas firms with an eye toward increasing the return on investment for their shareholders.

Except the banks have stressed that they have no intention of doing so. In the press releases and articles about leaving the NZBA, each bank emphasized that this move should not be interpreted as them abandoning net zero itself. All of these banks remain committed to aligning their activities with decarbonization, no matter the cost to Canada, the Canadian economy or the good of its citizens.

This means we still have work to do. While we applaud the banks for exiting the NZBA, we will continue to work to get them to leave behind the net zero ideology as well. Then, and only then, will we claim a full victory.

Gina Pappano is the former head of market intelligence at the Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange and executive director of InvestNow , a non-profit dedicated to demonstrating that investing in Canada’s resource sectors helps Canada and the world. Join the movement and pass the InvestNow resolution at investnow.org.

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