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Red Deer Chamber Hears Energy Industry Update

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img_2964 (Chris Montgomery – Manager, E & P, Communications and Outreach – Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers)

By Sheldon Spackman

With many in Central Alberta wondering when things are going to turn around in the Oilpatch, the Red Deer Chamber of Commerce received an update on the current state of the industry during their monthly luncheon on Tuesday.

The Chamber’s Guest speaker was Chris Montgomery, President of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers or CAPP. Montgomery says the bottom line is they’re not sure just yet when things are going to turn around. Montgomery says certain conditions need to be in place for that to happen, with many factors involved.

He says the first being prices and cost structures to be right, making sure government has the right policy environment and most importantly, making sure the industry can move it’s product to other markets, aside from the U.S., which is not only the Canadian Energy Industry’s biggest customer but also it’s biggest competitor.

Montgomery says it’s extremely important for Canada to get it’s products to other foreign markets like Asia for example and shipped from the shores of our country. Right now, Canadian energy products have to go through the U.S. before getting shipped elsewhere. However, with the U.S. increasing it’s supply of Oil and Natural Gas, Montgomery says it now makes even less sense for us to rely on the States to ship our products.

Montgomery says there are three pipeline projects that could address this issue. The Northern Gateway Pipeline that would ship Alberta oil to Kitimat, B.C., the existing Kinder Morgan Pipeline that goes through Burnaby, B.C. and the Energy East Pipeline that would ship Alberta crude to St. John, New Brunswick. He says the fates of those projects could be determined by the Federal government over the course of the next few months.

Over the last three years, Montgomery says there has been a 62 percent reduction in Capital Investment in Canada’s Oil and Natural Gas Industry, a roughly $50 billion dollar drop to $31 billion dollars.

As for drilling activity, the industry forecast anticipates 3,562 wells to be drilled in Western Canada this year, roughly a third of what was drilled two years ago.

Alberta’s provincial government also has a carbon levy planned for the new year as part of it’s efforts to help fight climate change. Montgomery says he would like to see that get done the right way as well, particularily when it comes to methane emissions. He says the government’s policies in that regard can’t impact a company’s ability to operate.

Montgomery says there is some positive news though, saying there is roughly $30 billion dollars in private capital ready to be invested into Canada’s Oil and Natural Gas Industry, once we can get those products to other foreign markets from our shores.

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Worst kept secretā€”red tape strangling Canadaā€™s economy

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From the Fraser Institute

By Matthew Lau

In the past nine years, business investment in Canada has fallenĀ while increasing more than 30 per cent in the U.S. on a real per-person basis. Workers in Canada now receiveĀ barely halfĀ as much new capital per worker than in the U.S.

According to a new Statistics CanadaĀ report, government regulation has grown over the years and itā€™s hurting Canadaā€™s economy. The report, which uses a regulatory burden measure devised by KPMG and Transport Canada, shows government regulatory requirements increased 2.1 per cent annually from 2006 to 2021, with the effect of reducing the business sectorā€™s GDP, employment, labour productivity and investment.

Specifically, the growth in regulation over these years cut business-sector investment by an estimated nine per cent and ā€œreduced business start-ups and business dynamism,ā€ cut GDP in the business sector by 1.7 percentage points, cut employment growth by 1.3 percentage points, and labour productivity by 0.4 percentage points.

While the report only covered regulatory growth through 2021, in the past four years an avalanche of new regulations has made the already existing problem of overregulation worse.

The Trudeau government in particular hasĀ intensified its regulatory assaultĀ on the extraction sector with a greenhouse gas emissions cap, new fuel regulations and new methane emissions regulations. In the last few years, federal diktats and expansions of bureaucratic control have swept theĀ auto industry,Ā child care,Ā supermarketsĀ and manyĀ other sectors.

Again, the negative results are evident. Over the pastĀ nine years, Canadaā€™s cumulative real growth in per-person GDP (an indicator of incomes and living standards) has been a paltry 1.7 per cent and trending downward, compared to 18.6 per cent and trending upward in the United States. Put differently, if the Canadian economy had tracked with the U.S. economy over the past nine years, average incomes in Canada would be much higher today.

Also in the past nine years, business investment in Canada hasĀ fallenĀ while increasing more than 30 per cent in the U.S. on a real per-person basis. Workers in Canada now receiveĀ barely halfĀ as much new capital per worker than in the U.S., and only about two-thirds as much new capital (on average) as workers in other developed countries.

Consequently, Canada is mired in anĀ economic growth crisisā€”a fact that even the Trudeau government does not deny. ā€œWe have more work to do,ā€Ā saidĀ Anita Anand, then-president of the Treasury Board, last August, ā€œto examine the causes of low productivity levels.ā€ The Statistics Canada report, if nothing else, confirms what economists and the business community alreadyĀ knewā€”the regulatory burden is much of the problem.

Of course, regulation is not the only factor hurting Canadaā€™s economy. Higher federalĀ carbon taxes, higherĀ payroll taxesĀ and higherĀ top marginal income tax ratesĀ are also weakening Canadaā€™s productivity, GDP, business investment and entrepreneurship.

Finally, while the Statistics Canada report shows significant economic costs of regulation, the authors note that their estimate of the effect of regulatory accumulation on GDP is ā€œmuch smallerā€ than the effect estimated in an AmericanĀ studyĀ published several years ago in theĀ Review of Economic Dynamics. In other words, the negative effects of regulation in Canada may be even higher than StatsCan suggests.

Whether Statistics Canada has underestimated the economic costs of regulation or not, one thing is clear: reducing regulation and reversing the policy course of recent years would help get Canada out of its current economic rut. The country isĀ effectively in a recessionĀ even if, as a result of rapid population growth fuelled by record levels of immigration, the GDP statistics do not meet the technical definition of a recession.

With dismal GDP and business investment numbers, a turnaroundā€”both in policy and outcomesā€”canā€™t come quickly enough for Canadians.

Matthew Lau

Adjunct Scholar, Fraser Institute
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ā€˜Out and out fraudā€™: DOGE questions $2 billion Biden grant to left-wing ā€˜green energyā€™ nonprofit`

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From LifeSiteNews

By Calvin Freiburger

The EPA under the Biden administration awarded $2 billion to a ā€˜green energyā€™ group that appears to have been little more than a means to enrich left-wing activists.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) under the Biden administration awarded $2 billion to a ā€œgreen energyā€ nonprofit that appears to have been little more than a means to enrich left-wing activists such as former Democratic candidate Stacey Abrams.

Founded in 2023 as a coalition of nonprofits, corporations, unions, municipalities, and other groups,Ā Power Forward Communities (PFC) bills itself as ā€œthe first national program to finance home energy efficiency upgrades at scale, saving Americans thousands of dollars on their utility bills every year.ā€ It says it ā€œwill help homeowners, developers, and renters swap outdated, inefficient appliances with more efficient and modernized options, saving money for years ahead and ensuring our kids can grow up with cleaner, pollutant-free air.ā€

The organizationā€™sĀ websiteĀ boasts more than 300 member organizations across 46 states but does not detail actual activities. It does have job postings for three open positions and a form for people to sign up for more information.

The Washington Free BeaconĀ reportedĀ that the Trump administrationā€™s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) project, along with new EPA administrator Lee Zeldin, are raising questions about the $2 billion grant PFCĀ receivedĀ from the Biden EPAā€™s National Clean Investment Fund (NCIF), ostensibly for the ā€œaffordable decarbonization of homes and apartments throughout the country, with a particular focus on low-income and disadvantaged communities.ā€

PFCā€™s announcement of the grant is the organizationā€™s only press release to date and is alarming given that the organization had somehow reported only $100 in revenue at the end of 2023.

ā€œI made a commitment to members of Congress and to the American people to be a good steward of tax dollars and Iā€™ve wasted no time in keeping my word,ā€ Zeldin said. ā€œWhen we learned about the Biden administrationā€™s scheme to quickly park $20 billion outside the agency, we suspected that some organizations were created out of thin air just to take advantage of this.ā€ Zeldin previously announced the Biden EPA had deposited the $20 billion in a Citibank account, apparently to make it harder for the next administration to retrieve and review it.

ā€œAs we continue to learn more about where some of this money went, it is even more apparent how far-reaching and widely accepted this waste and abuse has been,ā€ he added. ā€œItā€™s extremely concerning that an organization that reported just $100 in revenue in 2023 was chosen to receive $2 billion. Thatā€™s 20 million times the organizationā€™s reported revenue.ā€

Daniel Turner, executive director of energy advocacy group Power the Future, told the Beacon that in his opinion ā€œfor an organization that has no experience in this, that was literally just established, and had $100 in the bank to receive a $2 billion grant ā€” it doesnā€™t just fly in the face of common sense, itā€™s out and out fraud.ā€

Prominent among PFCā€™s insiders is Abrams, the former Georgia House minority leader best known forĀ persistent false claims about having the stateā€™s gubernatorial election stolen from her in 2018. Abrams founded two of PFCā€™s partner organizations (Southern Economic Advancement Project and Fair Count) and serves as lead counsel for a third group (Rewiring America) in the coalition. A longtime advocate of left-wing environmental policies, Abrams is also a member of the national advisory board for advocacy group Climate Power.

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