Business
Red Deer Chamber Hears Energy Industry Update
(Chris Montgomery – Manager, E & P, Communications and Outreach – Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers)
By Sheldon Spackman
With many in Central Alberta wondering when things are going to turn around in the Oilpatch, the Red Deer Chamber of Commerce received an update on the current state of the industry during their monthly luncheon on Tuesday.
The Chamber’s Guest speaker was Chris Montgomery, President of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers or CAPP. Montgomery says the bottom line is they’re not sure just yet when things are going to turn around. Montgomery says certain conditions need to be in place for that to happen, with many factors involved.
He says the first being prices and cost structures to be right, making sure government has the right policy environment and most importantly, making sure the industry can move it’s product to other markets, aside from the U.S., which is not only the Canadian Energy Industry’s biggest customer but also it’s biggest competitor.
Montgomery says it’s extremely important for Canada to get it’s products to other foreign markets like Asia for example and shipped from the shores of our country. Right now, Canadian energy products have to go through the U.S. before getting shipped elsewhere. However, with the U.S. increasing it’s supply of Oil and Natural Gas, Montgomery says it now makes even less sense for us to rely on the States to ship our products.
Montgomery says there are three pipeline projects that could address this issue. The Northern Gateway Pipeline that would ship Alberta oil to Kitimat, B.C., the existing Kinder Morgan Pipeline that goes through Burnaby, B.C. and the Energy East Pipeline that would ship Alberta crude to St. John, New Brunswick. He says the fates of those projects could be determined by the Federal government over the course of the next few months.
Over the last three years, Montgomery says there has been a 62 percent reduction in Capital Investment in Canada’s Oil and Natural Gas Industry, a roughly $50 billion dollar drop to $31 billion dollars.
As for drilling activity, the industry forecast anticipates 3,562 wells to be drilled in Western Canada this year, roughly a third of what was drilled two years ago.
Alberta’s provincial government also has a carbon levy planned for the new year as part of it’s efforts to help fight climate change. Montgomery says he would like to see that get done the right way as well, particularily when it comes to methane emissions. He says the government’s policies in that regard can’t impact a company’s ability to operate.
Montgomery says there is some positive news though, saying there is roughly $30 billion dollars in private capital ready to be invested into Canada’s Oil and Natural Gas Industry, once we can get those products to other foreign markets from our shores.
Business
CBC’s business model is trapped in a very dark place
I Testified Before a Senate Committee About the CBC
I recently testified before the Senate Committee for Transport and Communications. You can view that session here. Even though the official topic was CBC’s local programming in Ontario, everyone quickly shifted the discussion to CBC’s big-picture problems and how their existential struggles were urgent and immediate. The idea that deep and fundamental changes within the corporation were unavoidable seemed to enjoy complete agreement.
I’ll use this post as background to some of the points I raised during the hearing.
You might recall how my recent post on CBC funding described a corporation shedding audience share like dandruff while spending hundreds of millions of dollars producing drama and comedy programming few Canadians consume. There are so few viewers left that I suspect they’re now identified by first name rather than as a percentage of the population.
Since then I’ve learned a lot more about CBC performance and about the broadcast industry in general.
For instance, it’ll surprise exactly no one to learn that fewer Canadians get their audio from traditional radio broadcasters. But how steep is the decline? According to the CRTC’s Annual Highlights of the Broadcasting Sector 2022-2023, since 2015, “hours spent listening to traditional broadcasting has decreased at a CAGR of 4.8 percent”. CAGR, by the way, stands for compound annual growth rate.
Dropping 4.8 percent each year means audience numbers aren’t just “falling”; they’re not even “falling off the edge of a cliff”; they’re already close enough to the bottom of the cliff to smell the trees. Looking for context? Between English and French-language radio, the CBC spends around $240 million each year.
Those listeners aren’t just disappearing without a trace. the CRTC also tells us that Canadians are increasingly migrating to Digital Media Broadcasting Units (DMBUs) – with numbers growing by more than nine percent annually since 2015.
The CBC’s problem here is that they’re not a serious player in the DMBU world, so they’re simply losing digital listeners. For example, of the top 200 Spotify podcasts ranked by popularity in Canada, only four are from the CBC.
Another interesting data point I ran into related to that billion dollar plus annual parliamentary allocation CBC enjoys. It turns out that that’s not the whole story. You may recall how the government added another $42 million in their most recent budget.
But wait! That’s not all! Between CBC and SRC, the Canada Media Fund (CMF) ponied up another $97 million for fiscal 2023-2024 to cover specific programming production budgets.
Technically, Canada Media Fund grants target individual projects planned by independent production companies. But those projects are usually associated with the “envelope” of one of the big broadcasters – of which CBC is by far the largest. 2023-2024 CMF funding totaled $786 million, and CBC’s take was nearly double that of their nearest competitor (Bell).
But there’s more! Back in 2016, the federal budget included an extra $150 million each year as a “new investment in Canadian arts and culture”. It’s entirely possible that no one turned off the tap and that extra government cheque is still showing up each year in the CBC’s mailbox. There was also a $93 million item for infrastructure and technological upgrades back in the 2017-2018 fiscal year. Who knows whether that one wasn’t also carried over.
So CBC’s share of government funding keeps growing while its share of Canadian media consumers shrinks. How do you suppose that’ll end?
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Business
PBO report shows cost of bureaucracy up 73 per cent under Trudeau
From the Canadian Taxpayers Federation
The Canadian Taxpayers Federation is calling on the federal government to rein in the bureaucracy following today’s Parliamentary Budget Officer report showing the bureaucracy costs taxpayers $69.5 billion.
“The cost of the federal bureaucracy increased by 73 per cent since 2016, but it’s a good bet most Canadians aren’t seeing anywhere close to 73 per cent better services from the government,” said Franco Terrazzano, CTF Federal Director. “Taxpayers are getting soaked because the size and cost of the federal bureaucracy is out of control.”
Today’s PBO report estimates the federal bureaucracy cost taxpayers $69.5 billion in 2023-24. In 2016-17, the cost of the bureaucracy was $40.2 billion. That’s an increase of 72.9 per cent.
The most recent data shows the cost continues to rise quickly.
“Spending on personnel in the first five months of 2024-25 is up 8.0 per cent over the same period last year,” according to the PBO.
“I have noticed a marked increase in the number of public servants since 2016 and a proportional increase in spending,” said Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux. “But we haven’t seen similar improvements when it comes to service.”
The Trudeau government added 108,793 bureaucrats since 2016 – a 42 per cent increase. Canada’s population grew by 14 per cent during the same period. Had the bureaucracy only increased with population growth, there would be 72,491 fewer federal employees today.
The government awarded more than one million pay raises to bureaucrats in the last four years, according to access-to-information records obtained by the CTF. The government also rubberstamped $406 million in bonuses last year.
“The government added tens of thousands of extra bureaucrats, rubberstamped hundreds of millions in bonuses and awarded more than one million pay raises and all taxpayers seem to get out of it is higher taxes and more debt,” Terrazzano said. “For the government to balance the budget and provide tax relief, it will need to cut the size and cost of Ottawa’s bloated bureaucracy.”
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