Alberta
Leading proponent of Alberta Independence predicts provincial referendum in 2025

Jeffrey Rath
Over one third of Albertans already support Independence from Ottawa
You know that Alberta is making progress towards an independence referendum in 2025 when both Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Alberta Communist Leader Naheed Nenshi are discussing, considering, or teasing an Alberta Independence Referendum to be held in 2025.
This level of agreement between the two party leaders on the need for an independence referendum is demonstrative of the degree to which Alberta conversations on independence from Canada have taken hold around family dinner tables and in the pubs and community halls of the Commonwealth of Alberta.
Independent Journalist Rachel Parker has recently commissioned a poll that has support for Alberta Independence at 37%. It is noteworthy that there is presently 37% popular support for independence WITHOUT Albertans being educated on the benefits of Independence from Canada. Some of these benefits include:
- 60,000,000,000.00 (60 BILLION) dollars a year would remain in Alberta as opposed to being sent to Ottawa for “redistribution” to the mismanaged provinces of Canada.
- NO FEDERAL INCOME TAX
- NO CARBON TAX
- NO CAPITAL GAINS TAX
- NO GST
- NO EXCISE TAX
- NO MORE FEDERAL GUN GRABS
- NO MORE FEDERAL OVER REGULATION OF SPEECH, INTERNET COMMUNICATION, AGRICULTURE, TRAVEL, HEALTH, RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT, OR OTHER MATTERS OF CONCERN TO ALBERTANS.
- NO MORE MISGOVERNANCE BY FEDERAL POLITICIANS ELECTED BY MONTREAL AND TORONTO TO RULE ALBERTA.
The day Alberta declares independence Alberta’s GDP per capita would place Alberta as the the NUMBER ONE COUNTRY IN THE WORLD on the measure of GDP per capita. The end of all federal taxation and regulation will prompt an economic boom and overnight will increase the disposable income of every Albertan by at LEAST 35%.
This column is a call to action. Every Albertan fed up with having our rulers chosen by Toronto and Montreal need to forward this column to Danielle Smith and request that she pass the ALBERTA INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM ACT.
THE ALBERTA INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM ACT
Whereas successive Canadian Federal Governments have exceeded their constitutional jurisdiction through property seizures, excessive taxation and natural resource regulation aimed at the destruction of Alberta’s autonomy and sovereignty; and
Whereas the Government of Alberta has been mandated by referendum to bring an end to the payment of “equalization” dollars to provinces of Canada who continually mismanage their public finances;
The Alberta Legislature hereby enacts The Alberta Independence Referendum Act.
1. Within 6 months of every Canadian Federal Election the Government of Alberta shall call a provincial referendum on the Independence of Alberta from Canada.
2. The referendum question shall take the following form:
“Further to the over taxation and unconstitutional overreach of successive Governments of Canada aimed at harming the sovereign citizens of Alberta for the political benefit of successive governments of Canada, The Citizens of Alberta vote to remove Alberta from the Canadian Federation and form an Independent Commonwealth of Alberta.”
3. In furtherance of this legislation all Federal and Provincial taxes in Alberta shall be collected by the Government of Alberta.
4. Only such proportion of such taxes deemed by the government of Alberta to be for the common benefit of the Citizens of Alberta shall be remitted to the Government of Canada.
BY requiring a referendum following every Canadian Federal Election politicians pandering for votes from the idiots that think taxes can change the weather would have to consider the consequences of running on platforms that are based on the continued maldistribution of Alberta’s wealth.
Albertans need to understand that they would prosper by voting to confirm Alberta Independence from greedy politicians in Quebec and Ontario who claim to represent the failed colonial state of “Canada”.
An Alberta Dollar backed by the 3rd largest energy reserves in the world and the wealth of the Alberta Economy would be a stable currency with far greater value than the debt mired Canadian fiat currency.
Alberta Pensioners would see increased pension rates as Alberta could self fund Alberta Pensions out of the 60 BILLION no longer being siphoned out of Alberta by Quebec and Ontario until the 300 BILLION plus share of the Canada Pension plan was repatriated to Alberta.
Albertans need to write to Premier Smith and require her to pass the ALBERTA INDEPENDENCE REFERENDUM ACT prior to the expiry of the writ period for the next Federal Election. Regardless of whether a Conman Carney Liberal Government is elected or a Poilievre Conservative Government is elected, Federal Politicians need to be put on notice that they will continue to ignore or misgovern Alberta at their peril. By requiring an independence referendum following every Federal Election Alberta Voters will have the option of opting out of being governed by who ever Montreal and Toronto voters choose to misgovern Alberta against the will of the Citizens of Alberta.
There is no good reason or excuse for not creating a mechanism that will allow Albertans to put both the Government of Canada and the Government of Alberta on notice of their continued desire to remain in Canada following every Federal Election.
Legislation requiring a vote on independence following every federal election would give Danielle Smith and future leaders the leverage that they need to protect Alberta from globalists like Carney. Albertans should also beware that Pierre Poilievre has made it clear that a Conservative government will not stop Alberta wealth transfers to Quebec or stop ripping off Albertans for the benefit of the Laurentian Elite.
Remember, it’s all fun and games until someone loses a province.
Jeffrey R.W. Rath
Alberta
Alberta’s massive oil and gas reserves keep growing – here’s why

From the Canadian Energy Centre
Q&A with Mike Verney, executive vice-president, McDaniel & Associates
New analysis commissioned by the Alberta Energy Regulator has increased the province’s natural gas reserves by 440 per cent, bumping Canada into the global top 10.
Alberta’s oil reserves – already fourth in the world – also increased by seven billion barrels.
The report was conducted by Calgary-based consultancy McDaniel & Associates. Executive vice-president Mike Verney explains what it means.
CEC: What are “reserves” and why do they matter?
Verney: Reserves are commercial quantities of oil and gas to be recovered in the future. They are key indicators of future production potential.
For companies, that’s a way of representing the future value of their operations. And for countries, it’s important to showcase the runway they have in terms of the future of their oil and gas.
Some countries that have exploited a lot of their resource in the past have low reserves remaining. Canada is in a position where we still have a lot of meat on the bone in terms of those remaining quantities.
CEC: How long has it been since Alberta’s oil and gas reserves were comprehensively assessed?
Verney: Our understanding is the last fully comprehensive review was over a decade ago.
CEC: Does improvement in technology and innovation increase reserves?
Verney: Technological advancements and innovation play a crucial role in increasing reserves. New technologies such as advanced drilling techniques (e.g., hydraulic fracturing, horizontal drilling), enhanced seismic imaging and improved extraction methods enable companies to discover and access previously inaccessible reserves.
As these reserves get developed, the evolution of technology helps companies develop them better and better every year.
CEC: Why have Alberta’s natural gas reserves increased?
Verney: Most importantly, hydraulic fracturing has unlocked material volume, and that’s one of the principal reasons why the new gas estimate is so much higher than what it was in the past.
The performance of the wells that are being drilled has also gotten better since the last comprehensive study.
The Montney competes with every American tight oil and gas play, so we’re recognizing the future potential of that with the gas reserves that are being assigned.
In addition, operators continue to expand the footprint of the Alberta Deep Basin.
CEC: Why have Alberta’s oil reserves increased?
Verney: We discovered over two billion barrels of oil reserves associated with multilateral wells, which is a new technology. In a multilateral well, you drill one vertical well to get to the zone and then once you hit the zone you drill multiple legs off of that one vertical spot. It has been a very positive game-changer.
Performance in the oil sands since the last comprehensive update has also gone better than expected. We’ve got 22 thermal oil sands projects that are operating, and in general, expectations in terms of recovery are higher than they were a decade ago.
Oil sands production has grown substantially in the past decade, up 70 per cent, from two million to 3.4 million barrels per day. The growth of several projects has increased confidence in the commercial viability of developing additional lands.
CEC: What are the implications of Alberta’s reserves in terms of the province’s position as a world energy supplier?
Verney: We’re seeing LNG take off in the United States, and we’re seeing lots of demand from data centers. Our estimate is that North America will need at least 30 billion cubic feet per day of more gas supply in the next few years, based on everything that’s been announced. That is a very material number, considering the United States’ total natural gas production is a little over 100 billion cubic feet per day.
In terms of oil, since the shale revolution in 2008 there’s been massive growth from North America, and the rest of the world hasn’t grown oil production. We’re now seeing that the tight plays in the U.S. aren’t infinite and are showing signs of plateauing.
Specifically, when we look at the United States’ largest oil play, the Permian, it has essentially been flat at 5.5 million barrels per day since December 2023. Flat production from the Permian is contrary to the previous decade, where we saw tight oil production grow by half a million barrels per day per year.
Oil demand has gone up by about a million barrels a day per year for the past several decades, and at this point we do expect that to continue, at the very least in the near term.
Given the growing demand for oil and the stagnation in supply growth since the shale revolution, it’s expected that Alberta’s oil sands reserves will become increasingly critical. As global oil demand continues to rise, and with limited growth in production from other sources, oil sands reserves will be relied upon more heavily.
Alberta
Federal emissions plan will cost Albertans dearly

A new report finds every Albertan will have $3,300 less for essentials if the ineffective federal emissions reduction plan is left in place.
For years, the federal government has been targeting net zero by 2050 and putting in place an aggressive approach to reduce emissions as outlined in its Emissions Reduction Plan. This scheme, which included the carbon tax, emissions cap, electricity regulations and other initiatives, has drawn strong criticism from provinces, industry, business groups and Canadians.
A report by the Conference Board of Canada, commissioned by Alberta’s government, sheds new light on the negative impacts of the federal government’s punitive environmental approach. By 2050, Alberta’s GDP will shrink by 11 per cent, employment will decline by four per cent and the average person will have $3,300 less in disposable income – while Canada still misses its emissions target.
Alberta’s government is calling on the next federal government to permanently abandon the carbon tax, emissions cap and the entire flawed federal approach. Instead, the federal government should focus on reducing emissions without hurting the economy or making life harder for Albertan and Canadian families.
“These findings should send a message to whoever ends up being the next federal government. Our province remains firmly committed to protecting the environment and creating a future for our children, but that can’t be achieved by trampling on Canadians’ livelihoods. Ottawa has offered nothing but penalties and vague rhetoric. Instead of meaningful incentives to reduce emissions, we get carbon taxes, a production cap, and layers and layers of costly regulations, all burdening families and workers who are already stretched thin.”
The Conference Board of Canada assessed how Alberta businesses and consumers will react to the federal policies based on the costs and effectiveness of the technologies necessary to meet the federal targets.
It found that Alberta will be disproportionately impacted by the current federal plan, experiencing a deep recession in 2030 and subsequently slower economic growth going forward. According to the report, compared to the 2050 baseline scenario, Alberta’s GDP, jobs, revenue and incomes will significantly decline because of federal emissions policies:
- GDP: Projected to be 11 per cent lower
- Employment: Projected to be 4.1 per cent lower
- Government revenues: Projected to be 9.3 per cent lower
- Real (price adjusted) incomes: Down $3,300 (or 7.3 per cent) per person
Nationally, real GDP in Canada is estimated to fall 3.8 per cent in 2050. Canadian oil and gas production in 2050 would be 37 per cent lower, mostly due to the proposed federal oil and gas production cap.
On March 12, the independent Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) – following on reports from S&P Global, Deloitte Canada and the Conference Board of Canada – released a scathing report outlining the negative impacts of the proposed federal oil and gas emissions cap. According to the report, the PBO estimates that the federal government’s cap alone will in fact slash oil and gas production by almost 5 per cent, all while these required production cuts reduce nominal GDP by $20.5 billion in 2032.
The PBO report also suggests this policy will reduce economy-wide employment in Canada by 40,300 jobs and full-time equivalents by 54,400 in 2032.
Alberta’s government continues to call for the next federal government to focus on policies that grow the economy, while working with provinces and respecting the Canadian constitution.
Quick facts:
- The Conference Board of Canada scenarios assume oil and gas production grow to 9.7 million barrels of oil equivalent in 2050 with peak oil production of 9.9 million barrels per day in 2042, reflecting continued global oil demand.
- Canada’s employment is estimated to be 2.6 per cent lower, consumer prices 2.5 per cent higher, and real GDP 3.8 per cent lower in 2050 under the federal plan (compared to the baseline scenario).
- According to the report, Canada’s electricity sector would need to reduce emissions by 376 per cent below baseline in 2050, through significant investment in carbon capture and storage, to meet the federal net-zero commitment.
- The Conference Board of Canada’s realistic scenario assumes carbon capture and storage (CCS) will be deployed at a slower rate than is generally assumed by the federal government.
- Canada’s Emission Reduction Plan, released in March 2022, is a roadmap and its policies include the carbon tax, Clean Electricity Regulation, Clean Fuel Regulation, federal oil and gas emissions cap, methane reduction targets, zero emission vehicle mandates, and various other subsidy programs.
- The Conference Board of Canada’s report on assessing the impact of the federal Emissions Reduction Plan was completed prior to U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration and does not include the impacts of potential U.S. tariffs.
- U.S. tariffs have further illustrated the importance of market access to Canada’s energy security.
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