Alberta
What Now?
Results of the 2019 federal election are in, with the Liberal party winning the most seats.
However you wish to look at it though, Canadians are the biggest losers. This PM should have been investigated before the election for obstruction of justice and awaiting a trial and likely a conviction.
Now the RCMP won’t be allowed to take any further steps, the Admiral Norman and SNC Lavalin scandals will vanish. We will be right back to the same old game of corruption and lies all for the sake of power.
Albertans in particular who have been suffering from enhanced economic warfare waged upon us by Ottawa for the past cycle understand all too well that the pain will only intensify now. Trudeau has offered us up as the sacrifice, and will continue his massive deficit spending ways. The equalization formula was locked in for five years, so four more to go my friends.
Eastern jurisdictions that were promised all manner of free stuff, will eagerly await the further plunder of Albertans and take those dollars with an attitude of entitlement and arrogance. Trudeau was actively campaigning against Albertans interests in his home province, so we know where we stand already.
I believe that there is no possibility to fix the system of government in Canada, so that it could become what it was supposed to be. Pierre Trudeau started Canada down this path, and his son picked up the baton and ran with it.
Political parties also sold out for power. All parties use the equalization formula to curry favor in Quebec and the maritime provinces. They understand that the prosperity of Albertans is the price they must pay to increase odds of winning or staying in power. Equalization sounds like a nice concept, but it has been corrupted into a tool for plunder and used against those with little political power, meaning us.
Now we must change our focus and shed the fears of what if. We need to stand up and create a new future, one of prosperity and freedom. Self determination is not something we ask the government to give us, it’s something we have within us, and all we need to do is stand up for ourselves and force the government to adhere to our will.
We need to create our own constitution that guarantees our rights as individuals, and that treats us all as equals. No more divisive identity politics, only Albertans working together to make things right.
Our new constitution must ensure that the government remains accountable and responsible to the people. There must be checks and balances to government power so that we don’t see a repetition of what’s happening to Canada.
One of the best things about creating something new is that we don’t have to bargain with anyone else about what our future will look like. We can decide what it will be, and make it happen. We have the right people, strong agriculture and resource sectors; but perhaps more importantly though, we have a culture of getting the job done.
There are those who fear something new and those who have been hesitant to speak up in support of Independence, but I think after tonight many of these reluctant ones will join us in the struggle to free Alberta.
This is a pivotal moment, and I think will make for exciting reading someday in history books. One day people will read about how when Alberta became a nation, and how Albertans stood up for their freedom.
I say it’s long overdue, but now is the time to make our new nation. This won’t just happen on it’s own though, we must take responsibility and make it happen.
Responsibility is the price for Freedom. Freedom will give us Opportunity and that will drive a period of Prosperity like we’ve never seen before. We do this not only for our future prosperity, but for our children and grandchildren.
Click here to see Norman Wiehe’s next post “The Day After”
Premier Danielle Smith issued the following statement on the April 2, 2025 U.S. tariff announcement:
“Today was an important win for Canada and Alberta, as it appears the United States has decided to uphold the majority of the free trade agreement (CUSMA) between our two nations. It also appears this will continue to be the case until after the Canadian federal election has concluded and the newly elected Canadian government is able to renegotiate CUSMA with the U.S. administration.
“This is precisely what I have been advocating for from the U.S. administration for months.
“It means that the majority of goods sold into the United States from Canada will have no tariffs applied to them, including zero per cent tariffs on energy, minerals, agricultural products, uranium, seafood, potash and host of other Canadian goods.
“There is still work to be done, of course. Unfortunately, tariffs previously announced by the United States on Canadian automobiles, steel and aluminum have not been removed. The efforts of premiers and the federal government should therefore shift towards removing or significantly reducing these remaining tariffs as we go forward and ensuring affected workers across Canada are generously supported until the situation is resolved.
“I again call on all involved in our national advocacy efforts to focus on diplomacy and persuasion while avoiding unnecessary escalation. Clearly, this strategy has been the most effective to this point.
“As it appears the worst of this tariff dispute is behind us (though there is still work to be done), it is my sincere hope that we, as Canadians, can abandon the disastrous policies that have made Canada vulnerable to and overly dependent on the United States, fast-track national resource corridors, get out of the way of provincial resource development and turn our country into an independent economic juggernaut and energy superpower.”
From the Fraser Institute
By any measure, Alberta is an energy powerhouse—within Canada, but also on a global scale. In 2023, it produced 85 per cent of Canada’s oil and three-fifths of the country’s natural gas. Most of Canada’s oil reserves are in Alberta, along with a majority of natural gas reserves. Alberta is the beating heart of the Canadian energy economy. And energy, in turn, accounts for one-quarter of Canada’s international exports.
Consider some key facts about the province’s energy landscape, as noted in the Alberta Energy Regulator’s (AER) 2023 annual report. Oil and natural gas production continued to rise (on a volume basis) in 2023, on the heels of steady increases over the preceding half decade. However, the dollar value of Alberta’s oil and gas production fell in 2023, as the surging prices recorded in 2022 following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine retreated. Capital spending in the province’s energy sector reached $30 billion in 2023, making it the leading driver of private-sector investment. And completion of the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion project has opened new offshore export avenues for Canada’s oil industry and should boost Alberta’s energy production and exports going forward.
In a world striving to address climate change, Alberta’s hydrocarbon-heavy energy sector faces challenges. At some point, the world may start to consume less oil and, later, less natural gas (in absolute terms). But such “peak” consumption hasn’t arrived yet, nor does it appear imminent. While the demand for certain refined petroleum products is trending down in some advanced economies, particularly in Europe, we should take a broader global perspective when assessing energy demand and supply trends.
Looking at the worldwide picture, Goldman Sachs’ 2024 global energy forecast predicts that “oil usage will increase through 2034” thanks to strong demand in emerging markets and growing production of petrochemicals that depend on oil as the principal feedstock. Global demand for natural gas (including LNG) will also continue to increase, particularly since natural gas is the least carbon-intensive fossil fuel and more of it is being traded in the form of liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Against this backdrop, there are reasons to be optimistic about the prospects for Alberta’s energy sector, particularly if the federal government dials back some of the economically destructive energy and climate policies adopted by the last government. According to the AER’s “base case” forecast, overall energy output will expand over the next 10 years. Oilsands output is projected to grow modestly; natural gas production will also rise, in part due to greater demand for Alberta’s upstream gas from LNG operators in British Columbia.
The AER’s forecast also points to a positive trajectory for capital spending across the province’s energy sector. The agency sees annual investment rising from almost $30 billion to $40 billion by 2033. Most of this takes place in the oil and gas industry, but “emerging” energy resources and projects aimed at climate mitigation are expected to represent a bigger slice of energy-related capital spending going forward.
Like many other oil and gas producing jurisdictions, Alberta must navigate the bumpy journey to a lower-carbon future. But the world is set to remain dependent on fossil fuels for decades to come. This suggests the energy sector will continue to underpin not only the Alberta economy but also Canada’s export portfolio for the foreseeable future.
Jock Finlayson
Senior Fellow, Fraser Institute
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