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Alberta

Nutrien announces strategic actions to cut costs amid economic headwinds

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SASKATOON — Nutrien Ltd. is indefinitely pausing its potash production ramp-up and suspending work on its Geismar clean ammonia project after a period of “unprecedented volatility” in fertilizer markets, said chief executive Ken Seitz on Thursday.

Persistent uncertainty in global crop input markets over the past 18 months have been a challenge, and helped lead to significantly lower net earnings for the company in the second quarter of 2023, but there are still positive signs ahead, he said on an analyst call.

“We are encouraged by the continued improvement in demand as the year has progressed. This is most evident in North America, where we had a strong spring season, relative fertilizer price stability and a significant reduction in channel inventories,” said Seitz.

However, he noted demand has been slower in certain offshore fertilizer markets.

The strategic action to pull back on infrastructure investments reflect the company’s commitment to disciplined capital allocation and enhancing free cash flow, Seitz said.  

Nutrien reported second-quarter net earnings of US$448 million, down from US$3.6 billion a year earlier, and revised its full-year guidance lower amid economic pressures including lower potash prices. 

Sales were US$11.7 billion, down from US$14.5 billion during the same quarter last year, the company said in a press release Wednesday. Diluted net earnings per share were 89 cents US, down from US$6.51.

The lower earnings are mainly due to lower selling prices, weaker offshore potash sales volumes, and lower retail gross margin for crop nutrients and crop protection products, Nutrien said. It added that net earnings were also hit by non-cash impairments of US$465 million and US$233 million.

Nutrien is undertaking other cost-cutting measures in addition to pausing its potash ramp-up and suspending work on the ammonia project. These include reducing expenditures in both operations and in smaller retail investment projects. 

The company has also taken targeted actions this year to reduce headcount amid wage inflation, said Jeff Tarsi, executive vice-president and president of global retail, on the conference call. 

“We’ve been very deliberate about controlling our controllables. And we’re taking out discretionary costs across our network,” Tarsi said. 

Canadian potash exports will likely be constrained in the third quarter by logistical challenges related to the B.C. ports strike, said Seitz, as well as an outage at Canpotex’s Portland terminal.

“It could take several more weeks until the backlog is cleared and the supply chain returns to normal,” he said, adding this resulted in a lower estimate for global potash shipments in 2023, to a range of 63 to 65 million tonnes. 

Nutrien lowered its full-year guidance due to weaker potash prices, lower projected potash exports, and other factors. 

It now expects full-year adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization to be between US$5.5 and US$6.7 billion. Guidance last quarter was between US$6.5 and US$8.0 billion. 

Shares in the company closed down more than four per cent Thursday at $86.24.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published August 3, 2023.

Companies in this story: (TSX:NTR)

Rosa Saba, The Canadian Press


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Alberta

Alberta takes big step towards shorter wait times and higher quality health care

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From the Fraser Institute

By Nadeem Esmail

On Monday, the Smith government announced that beginning next year it will change the way it funds surgeries in Alberta. This is a big step towards unlocking the ability of Alberta’s health-care system to provide more, better and faster services for the same or possibly fewer dollars.

To understand the significance of this change, you must understand the consequences of the current (and outdated) approach.

Currently, the Alberta government pays a lump sum of money to hospitals each year. Consequently, hospitals perceive patients as a drain on their budgets. From the hospital’s perspective, there’s little financial incentive to serve more patients, operate more efficiently and provide superior quality services.

Consider what would happen if your local grocery store received a giant bag of money each year to feed people. The number of items would quickly decline to whatever was most convenient for the store to provide. (Have a favourite cereal? Too bad.) Store hours would become less convenient for customers, alongside a general decline in overall service. This type of grocery store, like an Alberta hospital, is actually financially better off (that is, it saves money) if you go elsewhere.

The Smith government plans to flip this entire system on its head, to the benefit of patients and taxpayers. Instead of handing out bags of money each year to providers, the new system—known as “activity-based funding”—will pay health-care providers for each patient they treat, based on the patient’s particular condition and important factors that may add complexity or cost to their care.

This turns patients from a drain on budgets into a source of additional revenue. The result, as has been demonstrated in other universal health-care systems worldwide, is more services delivered using existing health-care infrastructure, lower wait times, improved quality of care, improved access to medical technologies, and less waste.

In other words, Albertans will receive far better value from their health-care system, which is currently among the most expensive in the world. And relief can’t come soon enough—for example, last year in Alberta the median wait time for orthopedic surgeries including hip and knee replacements was 66.8 weeks.

The naysayers argue this approach will undermine the province’s universal system and hurt patients. But by allowing a spectrum of providers to compete for the delivery of quality care, Alberta will follow the lead of other more successful universal health-care systems in countries such as Australia, Germany, the Netherlands and Switzerland and create greater accountability for hospitals and other health-care providers. Taxpayers will get a much better picture of what they’re paying for and how much they pay.

Again, Alberta is not exploring an untested policy. Almost every other developed country with universal health care uses some form of “activity-based funding” for hospital and surgical care. And remember, we already spend more on health care than our counterparts in nearly all of these countries yet endure longer wait times and poorer access to services generally, in part because of how we pay for surgical care.

While the devil is always in the details, and while it’s still possible for the Alberta government to get this wrong, Monday’s announcement is a big step in the right direction. A funding model that puts patients first will get Albertans more of the high-quality health care they already pay for in a timelier fashion. And provide to other provinces an example of bold health-care reform.

Nadeem Esmail

Senior Fellow, Fraser Institute
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Alberta

Alberta’s embrace of activity-based funding is great news for patients

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From the Montreal Economic Institute

Alberta’s move to fund acute care services through activity-based funding follows best practices internationally, points out an MEI researcher following an announcement made by Premier Danielle Smith earlier today.

“For too long, the way hospitals were funded in Alberta incentivized treating fewer patients, contributing to our long wait times,” explains Krystle Wittevrongel, director of research at the MEI. “International experience has shown that, with the proper funding models in place, health systems become more efficient to the benefit of patients.”

Currently, Alberta’s hospitals are financed under a system called “global budgeting.” This involves allocating a pre-set amount of funding to pay for a specific number of services based on previous years’ budgets.

Under the government’s newly proposed funding system, hospitals receive a fixed payment for each treatment delivered.

An Economic Note published by the MEI last year showed that Quebec’s gradual adoption of activity-based funding led to higher productivity and lower costs in the province’s health system.

Notably, the province observed that the per-procedure cost of MRIs fell by four per cent as the number of procedures performed increased by 22 per cent.

In the radiology and oncology sector, it observed productivity increases of 26 per cent while procedure costs decreased by seven per cent.

“Being able to perform more surgeries, at lower costs, and within shorter timelines is exactly what Alberta’s patients need, and Premier Smith understands that,” continued Mrs. Wittevrongel. “Today’s announcement is a good first step, and we look forward to seeing a successful roll-out once appropriate funding levels per procedure are set.”

The governments expects to roll-out this new funding model for select procedures starting in 2026.

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The MEI is an independent public policy think tank with offices in Montreal, Ottawa, and Calgary. Through its publications, media appearances, and advisory services to policymakers, the MEI stimulates public policy debate and reforms based on sound economics and entrepreneurship.

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