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COP 29 leaders demand over a $1 trillion a year in climate reparations from ‘wealthy’ nations. They don’t deserve a nickel.

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From Energy Talking Points

The injustice of climate reparations

COP 29 is calling for over $1 trillion in annual climate reparations

  • A major theme of COP 29 is that the world should set a “New Collective Quantified Goal” wherein successful nations pay poor nations over $1 trillion a year to 1) make up for climate-related harm and 2) build them new “green energy” economies. In other words, climate reparations.¹
  • What would $1 trillion a year in climate reparations mean for you and your family?Assuming the money was paid equally by households considered high income (>$50 per day), your household would have to pay more than $5,000 a year in climate reparations taxes!²
  • Climate reparations are based on two false assumptions:1. Free, wealthy countries, through their fossil fuel use, have made the world worse for poor countries.

    2. The poor world’s main problem is dealing with climate change, which wealth transfers will help them with.

But free, fossil-fueled countries have made life better for poor countries

  • Free, wealthy countries, through their fossil fuel use, have not made the world worse for poor countries—they have made it far, far better.Observe what has happened to global life expectancies and income as fossil fuel use has risen. Life has gotten much better for everyone.³
  • The wealthy world’s fossil fuel use has improved life worldwide because by using fossil fuel energy to be incredibly productive, we have 1) made all kinds of goods cheaper and 2) been able to engage in life-saving aid, particularly in the realms of food, medicine, and sanitation.
  • Without the historic use of fossil fuels by the wealthy world, there would be no super-productive agriculture to feed 8 billion humans, no satellite-based weather warning systems, etc. Most of the individuals in poor countries would not even be alive today.

Free, fossil-fueled countries have made the poor safer from climate

  • The wealthy world’s fossil fuel use has been particularly beneficial in the realm of climate.Over the last 100 years, the death rate from climate-related disasters plummeted by 98% globally.

    A big reason is millions of lives saved from drought via fossil-fueled crop transport.⁴

  • The “climate reparations” movement ignores the fact that the wealthy world’s fossil fuel use has made life better, including safer from climate, in the poor world.This allows it to pretend that the poor world’s main problem is dealing with rising CO2 levels.

The poor world’s problem is poverty, not rising CO2 levels

  • The poor world’s main problem is not rising CO2 levels, it is poverty—which is caused by lack of freedom, including the crucial freedom to use fossil fuels.Poverty makes everything worse, including the world’s massive natural climate danger and any danger from more CO2.
  • While it’s not true that the wealthy world has increased climate danger in the poor world—we have reduced it—it is true that the poor world is more endangered by climate than the wealthy world is.The solution is for the poor to get rich. Which requires freedom and fossil fuels.

Escaping poverty requires freedom and fossil fuels

  • Every nation that has risen out of poverty has done so via pro-freedom policies—specifically, economic freedom. 

    That’s how resource-poor places like Singapore and Taiwan became prosperous. Resource-rich places like Congo have struggled due to lack of economic freedom.

  • Even China, which is unfree in many ways (including insufficient protections against pollution) dramatically increased its standard of living via economic freedom—particularly in the realm of industrial development where it is now in many ways much freer than the US and Europe.
  • crucial freedom involved in rising prosperity has been the freedom to use fossil fuels.Fossil fuels are a uniquely cost-effective source of energy, providing energy that’s low-cost, reliable, versatile, and scalable to billions of people in thousands of places.⁶
  • Time and again nations have increased their prosperity, including their safety from climate, via economic freedom and fossil fuels.Observe the 7X increase in fossil fuel use in China and India over the past 4 decades, which enabled them to industrialize and prosper.
  • For the world’s poorest people to be more prosperous and safer from climate, they need more freedom and more fossil fuels.The “climate reparations” movement seeks to deny them both.
  • The wealthy world should communicate to the poor world that economic freedom is the path to prosperity, and encourage the poor world to reform its cultural and political institutions to embrace economic freedom—including fossil fuel freedom.Our leaders are doing the opposite.

Climate reparations pay off dictators to take away fossil fuel freedom

  • Instead of promoting economic freedom, including fossil fuel freedom, wealthy climate reparations advocates like Antonio Guterres are offering to entrench anti-freedom regimes by paying off their dictators and bureaucrats to eliminate fossil fuel freedom.This is disgusting.⁸
  • The biggest victim of “climate reparations” will be the world’s poorest countries, whose dictators will be paid off to prevent the fossil fuel freedom that has allowed not just the US and Europe but also China and India to dramatically increase their prosperity.
  • The biggest beneficiary of “climate reparations” will be China, which is already emitting more CO2 than the US and Europe combined. (Though less per capita.)While we flagellate and cripple ourselves, China will use fossil fuels in its quest to become the world’s superpower.⁹
  • The second biggest beneficiary of “climate reparations” will be corrupt do-gooders who get to add anti-fossil-fuel strings to “reparations” dollars and dictate how it’s spent—which will surely include lots of dollars for unreliable solar panels and wind turbines made in China.

Leaders must reject reparations and champion fossil fuel freedom

  • We need leaders in the US and Europe who proudly:1. Champion the free world’s use of fossil fuels as an enormous good for the world, including its climate safety.

    2. Encourage the poor world to embrace economic freedom and fossil fuels.

    Tell your Representative to do both.

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“Energy Talking Points by Alex Epstein” is my free Substack newsletter designed to give as many people as possible access to concise, powerful, well-referenced talking points on the latest energy, environmental, and climate issues from a pro-human, pro-energy perspective.

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Scientific American – COP27 Summit Yields ‘Historic Win’ for Climate Reparations but Falls Short on Emissions Reductions
2  Global population was about 8.02 billion in 2023.

World Bank data

About 7% of world population are considered high income, which translates into about 562 million individuals. Considering 3 people per average household in high income households, this translates into about 187 million households.
Pew Research – Are you in the global middle class? Find out with our income calculator

$1 trillion per annum paid by 187 million households means the average household would pay about $5,300 per year.

Maddison Database 2010 at the Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Faculty of Economics and Business at University of Groningen
UC San Diego – The Keeling Curve

For every million people on earth, annual deaths from climate-related causes (extreme temperature, drought, flood, storms, wildfires) declined 98%–from an average of 247 per year during the 1920s to 2.5 in per year during the 2010s.

Data on disaster deaths come from EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, Brussels, Belgium – www.emdat.be (D. Guha-Sapir).

Population estimates for the 1920s from the Maddison Database 2010, the Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Faculty of Economics and Business at University of Groningen. For years not shown, population is assumed to have grown at a steady rate.

Population estimates for the 2010s come from World Bank Data.

UC San Diego – The Keeling Curve

Data on disaster deaths come from EM-DAT, CRED / UCLouvain, Brussels, Belgium – www.emdat.be (D. Guha-Sapir).

Population estimates come from World Bank Data.

Our World in Data – Energy Production and Consumption
BP – Statistical Review of World Energy
UN News – ‘Pay up or humanity will pay the price’, Guterres warns at COP29 climate summit
Our World in Data – Annual CO₂ emissions from fossil fuels, by world region

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Business

Canada drops almost all retaliatory tariffs on U.S.

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Quick Hit:

Canada has suspended nearly all of its retaliatory tariffs on U.S. products, easing inflation concerns and improving its economic outlook, according to Oxford Economics. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s new approach is aimed at protecting Canadian growth while avoiding a prolonged trade war.

Key Details:

  • Canada’s effective tariff rate on U.S. goods is now “nearly zero” after broad exemptions were announced.
  • Retaliatory duties remain on select U.S. products like orange juice, alcohol, coffee, clothing, and cosmetics.
  • Oxford Economics upgraded Canada’s 2025 growth forecast to 0.9% despite predicting a mild recession.

Diving Deeper:

Canada’s government, under Prime Minister Mark Carney, has rolled back most of its retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, according to a new report from Oxford Economics. The decision comes after months of escalating trade tensions that began with the Trump administration’s tariffs earlier this year. In response, Canada initially slapped 25% import taxes on approximately C$60 billion ($43 billion) worth of U.S. goods and imposed additional levies on American automobiles.

However, Carney’s administration has since introduced a strategic six-month exemption for a wide range of U.S. products crucial to Canadian industries. Items used in manufacturing, processing, food and beverage packaging, health care, public safety, and national security are now largely exempt. Automakers, including major employers like General Motors Co., are also benefiting, as some U.S.-made vehicles can now enter Canada tariff-free.

Oxford Economics noted that with these exemptions, the real tariff-rate hike against U.S. goods is “nearly zero,” a move it called a “very strategic approach” to avoid harming Canada’s domestic economy. Tony Stillo, Oxford’s director of Canada economics, praised Carney’s leadership for prioritizing economic stability over political retaliation.

Still, not all U.S. goods escaped the tariffs. Products like orange juice, alcohol, coffee, clothing, and cosmetics remain subject to higher import taxes.

Carney, who recently won election by promising to manage the U.S.-Canada trade relationship effectively, has emphasized the need to strengthen Canada’s domestic economy. His government is planning increased spending on infrastructure and housing while pursuing new trade and security partnerships outside of the U.S. Unlike his predecessor, Justin Trudeau, Carney has rejected a strict “dollar for dollar” retaliation policy.

Despite these moves, Oxford Economics still forecasts a mild recession for Canada this year. However, it raised its growth expectations, projecting 0.9% growth in 2025 and 0.3% in 2026. Inflation is expected to briefly spike to 3% in 2026 before stabilizing.

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Business

From Gregor Robertson to Sean Fraser to Steven Guilbeault, Mark Carney’s Team ‘As Bad A Start As It Can Get’

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National Citizens Coalition Slams Carney Government’s Disastrous Start

The National Citizens Coalition (NCC) is sounding the alarm on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government, which has stumbled out of the gate with a series of missteps that threaten Canada’s prosperity and unity. From housing, to justice, to energy policy, the Carney cabinet’s early remarks signal a continuation of failed Trudeau-era policies, compounded by a refusal to provide fiscal transparency. We urge Canadians to voice their outrage and to hold these failing status-quo profiteers to account — before it’s too late.

Gregor Robertson’s Immediate Housing Fumble: A Crisis Ignored

One of the early architects of Canada’s generational housing crises, controversial former Vancouver Mayor Gregor Robertson has already dashed hopes for meaningful reform. During his tenure in Vancouver, which was marred by corruption and scandal, housing prices more than doubled, and municipal taxes on new homes soared by over 140%. Now, just days into his federal role, Robertson has declared that home prices don’t need to come down, dismissing the struggles of millions of Canadians priced out of the market. This tone-deaf stance, his apparent refusal to understand basic principles of supply and demand, coupled with his track record of overseeing Vancouver’s affordability crisis, suggests the Liberals have no plan to deliver on their promise to allow Canadian under-50s back into the housing market.

Canadians deserve a housing minister who understands the urgency of the crisis, and who won’t just commit to building Brookfield-backed dog-crate leaseholds. Young working Canadians are understandably worried, and this is as bad a start as feared for all those who have been denied the Canadian Dream.

Sean Fraser’s Justice Appointment: Failing Families Amid Rising Crime

The decision to appoint Sean Fraser as Minister of Justice is equally troubling. Fraser, who previously oversaw historically unsustainable immigration levels as Immigration Minister and delivered no measurable results as Housing Minister, now takes on a justice portfolio at a time when random violent attacks are leaving families shaken across Canada. Reports of stabbings, assaults, and public safety breakdowns dominate headlines, yet Fraser’s early comments suggest he may prioritize working from home over tackling the crime wave head-on. Canadians need a justice minister focused on restoring safety and locking up criminals, not one “failing upward” into a role he’s unprepared to handle. This status-quo quite literally kills.

Steven Guilbeault Executes a Unity Crisis

Steven Guilbeault, now Minister of Canadian Identity and Culture, has wasted no time inflaming tensions with Western Canada. On May 13, 2025, Guilbeault questioned the need for new pipelines, pointing to excess capacity in the Trans Mountain pipeline and predicting a global peak in oil demand. This anti-energy rhetoric, from a former environment minister known for his activist opposition to resource development, risks alienating Alberta and other resource-dependent regions. At a time when Canada needs a united front, Guilbeault’s comments threaten to deepen divisions and undermine economic growth. The NCC condemns this reckless approach, which prioritizes ideology over jobs and national unity.

Like Gregor Robertson, Guilbeault must be removed from his file at once.

Carney’s Budget Refusal: Hiding from Accountability — Just Like Justin

Perhaps most alarming is Carney’s announcement that his government will not table a federal budget in 2025, opting instead for a vague “fall economic statement.” This decision leaves Canadians in the dark about the government’s fiscal plans at a time of economic uncertainty, including U.S. tariff disruptions and rising deficits. Former parliamentary budget officer Kevin Page has warned that campaign platforms are outdated, and Parliament will be asked to approve spending without a clear framework. By dodging a budget, Carney is evading accountability and undermining trust in his government’s ability to manage Canada’s finances responsibly.

A Call to Action for Canadians

The NCC stands with the millions of Canadians who demand better, and the growing working-class coalition of common-sense conservatives. Carney’s cabinet appointments and early policy signals reveal a government out of touch with the priorities of hardworking families, energy workers, and taxpayers. We call on supporters to join us in pressing for real change: policies that make housing more affordable, that bring immigration back in line with sustainable norms, that make streets safe, and that make energy development more robust and life more affordable.

And this government will not be allowed to get away with the lack of economic transparency of the last ten years.

This has been as bad a start as it gets. More won’t just be expected of Carney. It will be demanded.

Founded in 1967, the National Citizens Coalition is a non-profit organization dedicated to advocating for smaller government, lower taxes, and greater individual freedom. We amplify the voices of Canadians who believe in accountability, prosperity, and unity.

If you share our alarm, your support is most welcome with a donation.

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