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Climate Fears and Political Smoke Screens

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This article is from The Opposition With Dan Knight substack.

Unmasking the Political Smoke and Mirrors Amidst Flames, Arson, and Fear

Good Morning my fellow Canadians! You know, the more things change, the more they stay the same, especially in our political landscape. Here we are, amid rising temperatures and heated debates, and as the wildfires burn brighter, so do the Twitter feuds among our politicians. Now, polls indicate that Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is edging into majority territory, and well, that’s triggered a full-blown meltdown from the usual quarters.

First in line, Harjit Sajjan, Minister of Emergency Preparedness. He tweeted, ‘Canadians can’t afford leaders who refuse to believe climate change is real,’ citing our worst wildfire season on record. It’s a brilliant strategy, really; never waste a good crisis to get your point across. I mean, who cares about providing solutions when you can point fingers?

 

Jonathan Wilkinson, our valiant Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, criticizes the Conservative Party for not even trying to recognize that climate change is real. Jonathan, we’re still waiting for you to recognize that humans, actual Canadian citizens, are setting forests on fire deliberately. But sure, it’s all the Conservative Party’s fault. Hilarious!

And then the Liberal Party, oh, the Liberal Party, wagging its finger at all of us, saying, ‘Canadians want more climate action, not less.’ They say it like they’ve cracked the Da Vinci Code of Canadian public opinion. Really? Because last time I checked, polls are showing Canadians might want something a little different.

Let’s not forget the honorable Ryan Turnbull, a man who seems to believe that Pierre Poilievre is the harbinger of the apocalypse, promoting ‘ignorance, hate, division,’ and basically every bad thing you can think of. Clearly, Poilievre’s struck a nerve.

So why the desperation? Why the continuous fearmongering? Could it be because they’re afraid that Canadians are starting to see through the smoke—quite literally? Now, you and I both know that the Liberals would love nothing more than to make you believe that the world is on fire and it’s all because of climate change. The mantra: ‘The Earth is burning, so give us more of your hard-earned money to save it.’ But amid the hysteria, let’s focus. We’ve been through a rough wildfire season. Yes, we’ve all seen the headlines. Yet, here’s the twist. Smithsonian Magazine reveals that 84% of wildfires in our southern neighbor, the United States, are started by human activity. But hold on, in Canada, it’s just 55%. Why such a dramatic difference?

Are Americans simply more careless, or could it be that our authorities are quicker to dismiss human involvement for the more politically advantageous ‘climate change’? Isn’t it more convenient to blame the ambiguous, the uncontrollable, than to investigate potential criminal behavior, like arson, which could be preventable?

And it’s not just a rhetorical question. We have had multiple instances of arson across the country. In Mission, BC; in Mackenzie; in Vernon North Okanagan; in Castlegar; in Grand Forks; in Pictou County, Nova Scotia; in Yellowknife. Just recently, a man in Quebec was arrested for setting fires in forested areas. He’s facing charges. Yet, do you see the Liberal government or mainstream media making a big deal out of that? No, because it doesn’t fit the narrative.

In the flurry of headlines, accusations, and the general media hubbub about the wildfires in Quebec, we’re missing something truly elemental: the entire story.

Last month, CBC News blazed across our screens with a dire proclamation. Climate change made weather conditions that powered Quebec’s wildfires twice as likely. That was the conclusion from the World Weather Attribution initiative, a U.K.-based group. Their analysis came in the wake of the record-setting fires in Quebec, and its takeaway? Climate change is ramping up the heat, and in turn, igniting the forests.

Yan Boulanger, a scientist at Natural Resources Canada, even labeled these findings as ‘shocking.’ The province had seen an astonishing 5.2 million hectares burned. The entirety of Canada? A whopping 15.3 million hectares — shattering the previous record. As for this analysis, it’s yet to be peer-reviewed, but CBC was quick to point out the past track record of the research group.

And while those numbers are staggering and the climate concerns valid, there’s another piece of news that’s just as vital to digest.

Two days ago (almost a month later), Quebec provincial police arrested one Brian Paré in connection with — wait for it — numerous forest fires that ripped through the northern province. This isn’t about a stray campfire or a misplaced cigarette butt; this is deliberate, calculated arson. Paré faces charges for setting a fishing cabin ablaze and torching vast stretches of forest over a span of months. It took an army of behavior analysts, criminal profilers, and forensic psychologists to track this man down.

No mention of climate change in that courtroom, I assure you. Do you know what makes fires 100 times more likely? It’s not climate change; it’s ARSON!

Now, I can hear the chorus already, “Dan! Climate change sets the stage for these fires to be more devastating!” Sure, let’s talk about setting the stage. You see, while the liberal media and their academic buddies are blaming your SUV and your meat-eating habits for setting forests ablaze, they’re conveniently ignoring one glaring point: people—real, living human beings—are lighting these fires. Not the weather, not some cosmic karma for humanity’s supposed ‘sins’ against nature.

As for those numbers that supposedly show the weather conditions for these fires are twice as likely because of climate change? A not-yet-peer-reviewed study is your smoking gun? Come on.

And let’s not forget the broader context here. Remember British Columbia?Over 1.6 million hectares devoured by wildfires this year alone. Astonishing, until you dive into the numbers. This isn’t some climate-induced Armageddon; it’s a pattern, one that has a lot of variables—climate being just one small piece of it. Fires have raged for years, caused by everything from lightning to, yes, human negligence. Just ask the folks who remember the Chinchaga fire of 1950—the biggest one North America has ever seen.

Climate change is an easy boogeyman. You can blame it for everything and thus blame everybody, which leads to a broad call for action that usually translates to more control, more regulations, and more taxes. But what it does not lead to is a discussion on the complexities and nuances.

You see, Canada, that’s the sinister issue afoot here. It’s much easier to control a population that’s operating on fear, especially when you can stoke that fear with selective storytelling. As you mull over these points, ask yourself: are we being given the full story, or just the convenient parts that fit a certain agenda?

So you’ve got all these questions swirling in your head, right? Complexities, nuances, arson rates, and where is all that in the grand narrative? Nowhere. Because it doesn’t fit the script, the master plan of Trudeau and Guilbeault to keep you scared, to keep you submissive. They don’t want an informed public asking hard questions; they want a fearful public, willing to buy into whatever they’re selling.

And oh boy, are they selling. A carbon tax here, a trip to China there. It’s like they’re hawking fear from a roadside stand, only instead of selling you overpriced trinkets, they’re peddling overpriced delusions. It’s a yard sale of deception, folks, and the currency is hitting your wallet via taxes!

Alright, now that we’ve connected the dots, let’s dive back into the murky waters of Trudeau’s ‘progressive’ policies because it’s high time somebody said it. You’ve got Justin Trudeau and his trusty sidekick Steven Guilbeault treating the Canadian people like we’re all a bunch of morons. They want to talk about how ‘progressive’ their carbon tax is, and how it’s supposedly saving the planet. Let’s set the record straight: If their carbon tax were the life-saving vaccine for climate change they claim it to be, British Columbia should be a Garden of Eden right now. But guess what? It’s not.

Don’t you just love how they evade accountability? They’re like a couple of tap dancers sidestepping questions they don’t want to answer. Oh, they’ll tell you that it’s ‘complex,’ that you ‘wouldn’t understand.’ Really? You’re going to pull that card? How condescending can you be? This is the same Trudeau who wore blackface, remember? Now he’s judging your understanding of complex issues?

And let’s talk about Guilbeault’s trip to China. Oh yes, China—the world’s leading polluter. The irony is so rich, you could drizzle it on pancakes. What’s he doing there? Sharing tips on how to be environmentally unfriendly? It’s absurd! Yet, they continue to offshore Canadian manufacturing to China so that our country’s carbon footprint ‘looks’ smaller on paper. They’re just shifting the dirt under the rug! It’s all smoke and mirrors!

Now, I know what some of you are thinking, “But the Liberals are doing something about climate change!” Are they? Are they really? Because last time I checked, our forest management is underfunded, our firefighters are under-resourced, and people’s homes are going up in flames! All while Trudeau’s jet-setting around the world!

And let’s not even get started on their international dealings. They have the audacity to preach about ‘green energy’ while sending coal off to China. It’s like a doctor smoking a cigarette while advising you to live a healthy lifestyle. It’s absurd, laughable, and downright insulting to the intelligence of Canadians.

So, when Trudeau and Guilbeault start accusing the Conservatives of wanting to roll back their so-called ‘climate initiatives,’ you better believe the answer is YES! Because Canadians are fed up. They see through the lies, the sleight of hand, the empty gestures that are as hollow as a bamboo shoot!

People are no longer buying into their deceptive narrative. You’re tired of it. I’m tired of it. And you know what? The days of nodding along to sanctimonious drivel are over. Canadians want action, not platitudes. They want honesty, not deceit. And most importantly, they want competent leadership!

Canadians are not stupid. Far from it. We’re a nation of problem solvers, of innovators, of people who brave harsh winters and come out stronger for it. We deserve leadership that reflects that spirit, not one that seeks to divide us, to stoke fears and rely on alarmism to keep their grip on power. It’s high time our politicians understood that message. It’s high time they were held to account for treating Canadians like pawns in their ideological games

And come 2025, let’s make sure they get that message, loud and clear. Canadians are fed up. We’re through with the lies, the virtue signaling, and the blatant disregard for the people who make this country great. So let’s roll up our sleeves, Canada, and do what needs to be done. Let’s vote them out and reclaim the true north, strong and free!

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Frontier Centre for Public Policy

Is the Price of Reconciliation that we Must Pretend to Believe a Lie?

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From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy

By Brian Giesbrecht

Even the Kamloops band is backing away from its most extreme claim, that ‘bodies were found’

The price we are being told that we must pay to achieve “reconciliation” is becoming clear. We must pretend to believe a lie.

The lie is that 215, and then thousands, of indigenous students of residential schools were “disappeared” while at the schools — that they died under sinister circumstances while under the care of the priests, nuns and teachers running the schools, and were buried in secrecy.

To top it off, it is claimed that fellow students — “as young as six” — were forced by these evil priests to dig the graves. The fact that there is not one scintilla of good evidence to support this deeply anti-Catholic blood libel is not supposed to deter us from accepting it as fact. We are being told that we must pretend to believe this lie if we want to achieve “reconciliation”.

If there was any doubt that the Assembly of First Nations (AFN) was insisting that Canadians must pretend to believe the false claim, it was dispelled when they angrily rejected the funding cap that the federal government had placed on its ill-considered promise to provide a total of $320 million to indigenous communities that chose to go on their own “missing children/unmarked graves” search.

The chiefs showed who was boss, and the federal government meekly submitted, and cancelled the funding cap.

The government coffers were left wide open, and indigenous communities expanded existing searches for “missing children.” In reality these children were never missing. As Tom Flanagan explains in Grave Error (above), they were “forgotten children” who had been properly buried in marked graves that were subsequently left untended and forgotten by their families.

Be that as it may, as a result of AFN activism, and government and media incompetence, the Kamloops claim morphed into  an officially sanctioned lie.

But where is the truth in all of this?

Most of us knew, even when this claim was first made in 2021, that these grisly tales of sinister deaths and secret burials could not possibly be true.

There is simply no historical record of any such thing occurring.

There are no records of parents frantically looking for children who suddenly went missing from residential schools, no police reports of missing children. Nothing.

In fact the extensive records we do have say exactly the opposite — namely that the deaths of children who sadly died of the diseases of the day at residential schools were all properly recorded, and that almost all of the deceased children were buried by their parents on their home reserves.

The small minority who were buried in special school cemeteries, (because the transportation of the bodies back to remote reserves was impractical,) all received Christian burials. Their places of burial were made known to their parents. The fact is that record keeping of indigenous children at residential schools was far superior to record keeping of the children on reserves, where far greater numbers died of exactly the same diseases.

But for reasons best left to future historians to ponder the Trudeau government and its CBC media ally immediately accepted the crackpot Kamloops claim as true. CBC and other gullible media went into overdrive pumping out misinformation in support of the baseless claim, while the Trudeau government ordered all flags on federal buildings across Canada lowered, where they remained for six months!

Trudeau’s indigenous affairs minister, Marc Miller — perhaps the worst Indian Affairs minister in the history of this country — recklessly promised $320 million to indigenous communities that wanted to make similar claims. And, of course, others did almost immediately.

Down the road, Chief Willie Sellars, of the Williams Lake indigenous community, outdid the rhetoric of his colleague, Chief Casimir. According to Sellars, priests had not only killed countless indigenous children, but had thrown their bodies into “rivers, streams and lakes” as well as the usual old standards of throwing bodies into school furnaces and incinerators. Other communities wanting in on the money jumped onto the bandwagon with increasingly fantastical tales.

The result of this Trudeau government recklessness — aided by a gullible media that asked no questions  — was predictable. These false stories became etched in stone as the truth within the indigenous community. A victim mentality that was already deeply imbedded became pathological, as indigenous communities became convinced — on evidence that was entirely false — that they were victims of a genocide committed by their neighbours.

The chiefs also silenced the many thoughtful members within their communities who knew that these stories of murderous priests were not true. As investigative reporter, Terry Glavin, explains, even among the Tk’emlups community there were always sensible voices who did not believe those claims:

“From the outset, even among Tk’emlúps people there was a great deal of skepticism and disbelief in stories about nuns waking children in the middle of the night to bury their murdered classmates under the light of the moon”

But instead of heeding those sensible indigenous voices, and even as it became increasingly clear to Canadians that these stories were just tall tales, there was so much money in it that the chiefs doubled down. They insisted that Canadians must pretend to believe that the claims were true.

That would be their price for “reconciliation”.

As noted above, the weak Liberal government gave into this blackmail by removing the funding cap on searches it had tried to impose. But other important institutions cravenly played along with what was now an officially sanctioned lie as well.

Jon Kay explains in his recent Quillette essay how the Law Society of British Columbia is now insisting that anyone who wants to be a lawyer in that province must pretend to believe the “evil priest” line of stories.

Other law schools and law societies across Canada are doing this as well. They are so focused on what they perceive as the holy grail of “reconciliation” that they are prepared to sacrifice a pursuit of truth as their goal, and force their own students — our future lawyers and judges —  to do the same.

Our public schools — to bring about “reconciliation — are indoctrinating our children with lessons about the “215 Kamloops graves” and other misinformation, such as the  “Charlie Wenjack” story.

Children are taught that Wenjack was abused by Catholic priests and nuns in his residential school, and ran away as a result.

In fact, as author and historian Robert MacBain explains in his important book, “The Lonely Death Of An Ojibway Boy” Charlie Wenjack lived at a Protestant hostel run by a kindly indigenous family, attended school by the day in Kenora, and probably never saw a residential school, or met a priest or nun, in his life.

But, in the interests of “reconciliation” our children are being misinformed by their teachers.

And when a teacher does dare to tell the truth, as when B.C. teacher, Jim McMurtry told his students that the children who died in residential schools died of the diseases of the day — and were not tortured to death, as was being reported — he was frogmarched from his classroom, and summarily fired.

Or Frances Widdowson, who was fired from her tenured university position largely for daring to dispute what was becoming an increasingly extreme residential school narrative.

All of this obvious unfairness, is happening in the name of “reconciliation.” The senior lawyers who oversee the Law Society, and the educators who select our children’s school curricula  are doing a great disservice to this country. As are our MPs who foolishly labelled Canada as genocidal, based on the same false Kamloops claim.

As are our senior indigenous leaders, who know by know that the murderous, secret-burying priest story has always been just a silly ghost story that children tell to scare  one another. Yet they insist that Canadians must pretend to believe it, or they will withhold the “reconciliation” that they wield like a sledge hammer over our heads.

It should have occurred to everyone by now that if the price of “reconciliation” is pretending to believe a lie, the price is far too high. That kind of “reconciliation” is worth nothing.

In actual fact, what this country and its indigenous population needs is not “reconciliation” at all. Too many indigenous people are stuck at the bottom of the socioeconomic ladder. What they need is not “reconciliation” but integration into the economy, and the opportunity to participate in it. As for the opportunists who exploit a false claim to benefit themselves, they deserve only our contempt.

What nobody needs is a country where citizens must lie to each other in order to stay together.

And now, to add insult to injury, MP Leah Gazan wants to make it a law that we must all lie to each other by criminalizing what she calls “residential school denialism”. She specifically singles out the Kamloops claim as something Canadians must accept as true. As she sees it any Canadian who refuses to do so, or who dares to suggest that the positives, as well as the negatives of residential schooling should be recognized, should be made a criminal. Dostoevsky famously asked if there will come a time “when intelligent people will be banned from thinking, so as not to offend the imbeciles”. Has that time arrived?

Brian Giesbrecht, retired judge, is a Senior Fellow at the Frontier Centre for Public Policy.

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Alberta

Ottawa’s oil and gas emissions cap will hit Alberta with a wallop

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From the Fraser Institute

By Kenneth P. Green

Even if Canada eliminated all its GHG emissions expected in 2030 due to the federal cap, the emission reduction would equal only four-tenths of one per cent of global emissions—a reduction unlikely to have any impact on the trajectory of the climate in any detectable manner or produce any related environmental, health or safety benefits.

After considerable waiting, the Trudeau government released on Monday draft regulations to cap greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from Canada’s oil and gas producers.

The proposed regulations would set a cap on GHG emissions equivalent to 35 per cent of the emissions produced in 2019 and create a GHG emissions “cap and trade” system to enable oil and gas producers (who cannot reduce emissions enough to avoid the cap) to buy credits from other producers able to meet the cap. Producers unable to meet the cap will also be able to obtain emission credits (of up to 20 per cent of their needed emission reductions) by investing in decarbonization programs or by buying emission “offsets” in Canada’s carbon markets.

According to the government, the cap will “cap pollution, drive innovation, and create jobs in the oil and gas industry.” But in reality, while the cap may well cap pollution and drive some innovation, according to several recent analyses it won’t create jobs in the oil and gas industry and will in fact kill many jobs.

For example, the Conference Board of Canada think-tank estimates that the cap would reduce Canada’s GDP by up to $1 trillion between 2030 and 2040, kill up to 151,300 jobs across Canada by 2030, and national economic growth from 2023 to 2030 would slow from 15.3 per cent to 14.3 per cent.

Not surprisingly, Alberta would be hardest hit. According to the Board, from 2023 to 2030, the province’s economic growth would fall from an estimated 17.8 per cent to 13.3 per cent and employment growth would fall from 15.8 per cent to 13.6 per cent over the same period. Alberta government revenues from the sector would decline by 4.5 per cent in 2030 compared to a scenario without the cap. As a result, Alberta government revenues would be $4.5 billion lower in nominal terms in fiscal year 2030/31. And between 54,000 to 91,500 of Canada’s job losses would occur in Alberta.

Another study by Deloitte estimates that, due to the federal cap, Alberta will see 3.6 per cent less investment, almost 70,000 fewer jobs, and a 4.5 per cent decrease in the province’s economic output (i.e. GDP) by 2040. Ontario would lose more than 15,000 jobs and $2.3 billion from its economy by 2040. And Quebec would lose more than 3,000 jobs and $0.4 billion from its economy during the same period.

Overall, according to Deloitte, Canada would experience an economic loss equivalent to 1.0 per cent of GDP, translating into lower wages, the loss of nearly 113,000 jobs and a 1.3 per cent reduction in government tax revenues. (For context, Canada’s economic growth in 2023 was only 1.1 per cent.)

And what will Canadians get for all that economic pain?

In my study published last year by the Fraser Institute, I found that, even if Canada eliminated all its GHG emissions expected in 2030 due to the federal cap, the emission reduction would equal only four-tenths of one per cent of global emissions—a reduction unlikely to have any impact on the trajectory of the climate in any detectable manner or produce any related environmental, health or safety benefits.

Clearly, the Trudeau government’s new proposed emissions cap on the oil and gas sector will impose significant harms on Canada’s economy, Canadian workers and our quality of life—and hit Alberta with a wallop. And yet, as a measure intended to avert harmful climate change, it’s purely performative (like many of the government’s other GHG regulations) and will generate too little emission reductions to have any meaningful impact on the climate.

In a world of rational policy development, where the benefits of government regulations are supposed to exceed their costs, policymakers would never consider this proposed cap. The Trudeau government will submit the plan to Parliament, and if the cap becomes law, it will await some other future government to undo the damage inflicted on Canadians and their families.

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