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Climate Fears and Political Smoke Screens

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This article is from The Opposition With Dan Knight substack.

Unmasking the Political Smoke and Mirrors Amidst Flames, Arson, and Fear

Good Morning my fellow Canadians! You know, the more things change, the more they stay the same, especially in our political landscape. Here we are, amid rising temperatures and heated debates, and as the wildfires burn brighter, so do the Twitter feuds among our politicians. Now, polls indicate that Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is edging into majority territory, and well, that’s triggered a full-blown meltdown from the usual quarters.

First in line, Harjit Sajjan, Minister of Emergency Preparedness. He tweeted, ‘Canadians can’t afford leaders who refuse to believe climate change is real,’ citing our worst wildfire season on record. It’s a brilliant strategy, really; never waste a good crisis to get your point across. I mean, who cares about providing solutions when you can point fingers?

 

Jonathan Wilkinson, our valiant Minister of Energy and Natural Resources, criticizes the Conservative Party for not even trying to recognize that climate change is real. Jonathan, we’re still waiting for you to recognize that humans, actual Canadian citizens, are setting forests on fire deliberately. But sure, it’s all the Conservative Party’s fault. Hilarious!

And then the Liberal Party, oh, the Liberal Party, wagging its finger at all of us, saying, ‘Canadians want more climate action, not less.’ They say it like they’ve cracked the Da Vinci Code of Canadian public opinion. Really? Because last time I checked, polls are showing Canadians might want something a little different.

Let’s not forget the honorable Ryan Turnbull, a man who seems to believe that Pierre Poilievre is the harbinger of the apocalypse, promoting ‘ignorance, hate, division,’ and basically every bad thing you can think of. Clearly, Poilievre’s struck a nerve.

So why the desperation? Why the continuous fearmongering? Could it be because they’re afraid that Canadians are starting to see through the smoke—quite literally? Now, you and I both know that the Liberals would love nothing more than to make you believe that the world is on fire and it’s all because of climate change. The mantra: ‘The Earth is burning, so give us more of your hard-earned money to save it.’ But amid the hysteria, let’s focus. We’ve been through a rough wildfire season. Yes, we’ve all seen the headlines. Yet, here’s the twist. Smithsonian Magazine reveals that 84% of wildfires in our southern neighbor, the United States, are started by human activity. But hold on, in Canada, it’s just 55%. Why such a dramatic difference?

Are Americans simply more careless, or could it be that our authorities are quicker to dismiss human involvement for the more politically advantageous ‘climate change’? Isn’t it more convenient to blame the ambiguous, the uncontrollable, than to investigate potential criminal behavior, like arson, which could be preventable?

And it’s not just a rhetorical question. We have had multiple instances of arson across the country. In Mission, BC; in Mackenzie; in Vernon North Okanagan; in Castlegar; in Grand Forks; in Pictou County, Nova Scotia; in Yellowknife. Just recently, a man in Quebec was arrested for setting fires in forested areas. He’s facing charges. Yet, do you see the Liberal government or mainstream media making a big deal out of that? No, because it doesn’t fit the narrative.

In the flurry of headlines, accusations, and the general media hubbub about the wildfires in Quebec, we’re missing something truly elemental: the entire story.

Last month, CBC News blazed across our screens with a dire proclamation. Climate change made weather conditions that powered Quebec’s wildfires twice as likely. That was the conclusion from the World Weather Attribution initiative, a U.K.-based group. Their analysis came in the wake of the record-setting fires in Quebec, and its takeaway? Climate change is ramping up the heat, and in turn, igniting the forests.

Yan Boulanger, a scientist at Natural Resources Canada, even labeled these findings as ‘shocking.’ The province had seen an astonishing 5.2 million hectares burned. The entirety of Canada? A whopping 15.3 million hectares — shattering the previous record. As for this analysis, it’s yet to be peer-reviewed, but CBC was quick to point out the past track record of the research group.

And while those numbers are staggering and the climate concerns valid, there’s another piece of news that’s just as vital to digest.

Two days ago (almost a month later), Quebec provincial police arrested one Brian Paré in connection with — wait for it — numerous forest fires that ripped through the northern province. This isn’t about a stray campfire or a misplaced cigarette butt; this is deliberate, calculated arson. Paré faces charges for setting a fishing cabin ablaze and torching vast stretches of forest over a span of months. It took an army of behavior analysts, criminal profilers, and forensic psychologists to track this man down.

No mention of climate change in that courtroom, I assure you. Do you know what makes fires 100 times more likely? It’s not climate change; it’s ARSON!

Now, I can hear the chorus already, “Dan! Climate change sets the stage for these fires to be more devastating!” Sure, let’s talk about setting the stage. You see, while the liberal media and their academic buddies are blaming your SUV and your meat-eating habits for setting forests ablaze, they’re conveniently ignoring one glaring point: people—real, living human beings—are lighting these fires. Not the weather, not some cosmic karma for humanity’s supposed ‘sins’ against nature.

As for those numbers that supposedly show the weather conditions for these fires are twice as likely because of climate change? A not-yet-peer-reviewed study is your smoking gun? Come on.

And let’s not forget the broader context here. Remember British Columbia?Over 1.6 million hectares devoured by wildfires this year alone. Astonishing, until you dive into the numbers. This isn’t some climate-induced Armageddon; it’s a pattern, one that has a lot of variables—climate being just one small piece of it. Fires have raged for years, caused by everything from lightning to, yes, human negligence. Just ask the folks who remember the Chinchaga fire of 1950—the biggest one North America has ever seen.

Climate change is an easy boogeyman. You can blame it for everything and thus blame everybody, which leads to a broad call for action that usually translates to more control, more regulations, and more taxes. But what it does not lead to is a discussion on the complexities and nuances.

You see, Canada, that’s the sinister issue afoot here. It’s much easier to control a population that’s operating on fear, especially when you can stoke that fear with selective storytelling. As you mull over these points, ask yourself: are we being given the full story, or just the convenient parts that fit a certain agenda?

So you’ve got all these questions swirling in your head, right? Complexities, nuances, arson rates, and where is all that in the grand narrative? Nowhere. Because it doesn’t fit the script, the master plan of Trudeau and Guilbeault to keep you scared, to keep you submissive. They don’t want an informed public asking hard questions; they want a fearful public, willing to buy into whatever they’re selling.

And oh boy, are they selling. A carbon tax here, a trip to China there. It’s like they’re hawking fear from a roadside stand, only instead of selling you overpriced trinkets, they’re peddling overpriced delusions. It’s a yard sale of deception, folks, and the currency is hitting your wallet via taxes!

Alright, now that we’ve connected the dots, let’s dive back into the murky waters of Trudeau’s ‘progressive’ policies because it’s high time somebody said it. You’ve got Justin Trudeau and his trusty sidekick Steven Guilbeault treating the Canadian people like we’re all a bunch of morons. They want to talk about how ‘progressive’ their carbon tax is, and how it’s supposedly saving the planet. Let’s set the record straight: If their carbon tax were the life-saving vaccine for climate change they claim it to be, British Columbia should be a Garden of Eden right now. But guess what? It’s not.

Don’t you just love how they evade accountability? They’re like a couple of tap dancers sidestepping questions they don’t want to answer. Oh, they’ll tell you that it’s ‘complex,’ that you ‘wouldn’t understand.’ Really? You’re going to pull that card? How condescending can you be? This is the same Trudeau who wore blackface, remember? Now he’s judging your understanding of complex issues?

And let’s talk about Guilbeault’s trip to China. Oh yes, China—the world’s leading polluter. The irony is so rich, you could drizzle it on pancakes. What’s he doing there? Sharing tips on how to be environmentally unfriendly? It’s absurd! Yet, they continue to offshore Canadian manufacturing to China so that our country’s carbon footprint ‘looks’ smaller on paper. They’re just shifting the dirt under the rug! It’s all smoke and mirrors!

Now, I know what some of you are thinking, “But the Liberals are doing something about climate change!” Are they? Are they really? Because last time I checked, our forest management is underfunded, our firefighters are under-resourced, and people’s homes are going up in flames! All while Trudeau’s jet-setting around the world!

And let’s not even get started on their international dealings. They have the audacity to preach about ‘green energy’ while sending coal off to China. It’s like a doctor smoking a cigarette while advising you to live a healthy lifestyle. It’s absurd, laughable, and downright insulting to the intelligence of Canadians.

So, when Trudeau and Guilbeault start accusing the Conservatives of wanting to roll back their so-called ‘climate initiatives,’ you better believe the answer is YES! Because Canadians are fed up. They see through the lies, the sleight of hand, the empty gestures that are as hollow as a bamboo shoot!

People are no longer buying into their deceptive narrative. You’re tired of it. I’m tired of it. And you know what? The days of nodding along to sanctimonious drivel are over. Canadians want action, not platitudes. They want honesty, not deceit. And most importantly, they want competent leadership!

Canadians are not stupid. Far from it. We’re a nation of problem solvers, of innovators, of people who brave harsh winters and come out stronger for it. We deserve leadership that reflects that spirit, not one that seeks to divide us, to stoke fears and rely on alarmism to keep their grip on power. It’s high time our politicians understood that message. It’s high time they were held to account for treating Canadians like pawns in their ideological games

And come 2025, let’s make sure they get that message, loud and clear. Canadians are fed up. We’re through with the lies, the virtue signaling, and the blatant disregard for the people who make this country great. So let’s roll up our sleeves, Canada, and do what needs to be done. Let’s vote them out and reclaim the true north, strong and free!

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Bruce Dowbiggin

The Game That Let Canadians Forgive The Liberals — Again

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With the Americans winning the first game 3-1, a sense of panic crept over Canada as it headed to Game 2 in Boston. Losing a political battle with Trump was bad enough, but losing hockey bragging rights heading into a federal election was catastrophic for the Family Compact.

“It’s also more political than the (1972) Summit Series was, because Canada’s existence wasn’t on the line then, and it may be now. You’re damn right Canadians should boo the (U.S.) anthem.” Toronto Star columnist Bruce Arthur before Gm. 1 of USA/ Canada in The 4 Nations Cup.

The year 2025 is barely half over on Canada Day. There is much to go before we start assembling Best Of Lists for the year. But as Palestinian flags duel with the Maple Leaf for prominence on the 158th anniversary of Canada’s becoming a sovereign country it’s a fair guess that we will settle on Febuary 21 as the pivotal date of the year— and Canada’s destiny as well.

That was the date of Game 2 in the U.S./Canada rivalry at the Four Nations Tournament. Ostensibly created by the NHL to replace the moribund All Star format, the showdown of hockey nations in Boston became much more. Jolted by non-sports factors it became a pivotal moment in modern Canadian history.

Set against U.S. president Donald Trump’s bellicose talk of Canada as a U.S. state and the Mike Myers/ Mark Carney Elbows Up ad campaign, the gold-medal game evoked, for those of a certain age, memories of the famous 1972 Summit Series between Canada and the USSR. And somehow produced an unprecedented political reversal in Canadian elections.

As we wrote on Feb. 16 after Gm. 1 in Montreal, the Four Nations had been meant to be something far less incendiary.  “Expecting a guys’ weekend like the concurrent NBA All Star game, the fraternal folks instead got a Pier Six brawl. It was the most stunning beginning to a game most could remember in 50 years. (Not least of all the rabid Canadian fanbase urging patriotism in the home of Quebec separation) Considering this Four Nations event was the NHL’s idea to replace the tame midseason All Star Game where players apologize for bumping into each other during a casual skate, the tumult as referees tried to start the game was shocking.

“Despite public calls for mutual respect, the sustained booing of the American national anthem and the Team Canada invocation by MMA legend Georges St. Pierre was answered by the Tkachuck brothers, Matthew and Brady, with a series of fights in the first nine seconds of the game. Three fights to be exact ,when former Canuck J.T. Miller squared up with Brandon Hagel. (All three U.S. players have either played on or now play for Canadian NHL teams.)  

“Premeditated and nasty. To say nothing of the vicious mugging of Canada’s legend Sidney Crosby behind the U.S. net moments later by Charlie McEvoy.”

With the Americans winning the game 3-1 on Feb. 15, a sense of panic crept over Canada as it headed to Game 2 in Boston. Losing a political battle with Trump was bad enough, but losing hockey bragging rights heading into a federal election was catastrophic for the Family Compact. As we wrote in the aftermath, a slaughter was avoided.

“In the rematch for a title created just weeks before by the NHL the boys stuck to hockey. Anthem booing was restrained. Outside of an ill-advised appearance by Wayne Gretzky— now loathed for his Trump support— the emphasis was on skill. Playing largely without injured Matthew and Brady Tkachuk and McAvoy, the U.S. forced the game to OT where beleaguered goalie Craig Binnington held Canada in the game until Connor McDavid scored the game winner. “

The stunning turnaround in the series produced a similar turnaround in the Canadian federal election. Galvanized by Trump’s 51st State disrespect and exhilarated by the hockey team’s comeback, voters switched their votes in huge numbers to Carney, ignoring the abysmal record of the Liberals and their pathetic polling. From Pierre Poilievre having a 20-point lead in polls, hockey-besotted Canada flipped to award Carney a near-majority in the April 28 election.

The result stunned the Canadian political class and international critics who questioned how a single sporting event could have miraculously rescued the Liberals from themselves in such a short time.

While Canada soared because of the four Nations, a Canadian icon crashed to earth. “Perhaps the most public outcome was the now-demonization of Gretzky in Canada. Just as they had with Bobby Orr, another Canadian superstar living in America, Canadians wiped their hands of No. 99 over politics. Despite appeals from Orr, Don Cherry and others, the chance to make Gretzky a Trump proxy was too tempting.

We have been in several arguments on the subject among friends: Does Gretzky owe Canada something after carrying its hockey burden for so long? Could he have worn a Team Canada jersey? Shouldn’t he have made a statement that he backs Canada in its showdown with Trump? For now 99 is 0 in his homeland.”

Even now, months later, the events of late February have an air of disbelief around them, a shift so dramatic and so impactful on the nation that many still shake their heads. Sure, hockey wasn’t the device that blew up Canada’s politics. But it was the fuse that created a crater in the country.

Bruce Dowbiggin @dowbboy is the editor of Not The Public Broadcaster  A two-time winner of the Gemini Award as Canada’s top television sports broadcaster, his new book Deal With It: The Trades That Stunned The NHL And Changed hockey is now available on Amazon. Inexact Science: The Six Most Compelling Draft Years In NHL History, his previous book with his son Evan, was voted the seventh-best professional hockey book of all time by bookauthority.org . His 2004 book Money Players was voted sixth best on the same list, and is available via brucedowbigginbooks.ca.

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Massive government child-care plan wreaking havoc across Ontario

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From the Fraser Institute

By Matthew Lau

It’s now more than four years since the federal Liberal government pledged $30 billion in spending over five years for $10-per-day national child care, and more than three years since Ontario’s Progressive Conservative government signed a $13.2 billion deal with the federal government to deliver this child-care plan.

Not surprisingly, with massive government funding came massive government control. While demand for child care has increased due to the government subsidies and lower out-of-pocket costs for parents, the plan significantly restricts how child-care centres operate (including what items participating centres may purchase), and crucially, caps the proportion of government funds available to private for-profit providers.

What have families and taxpayers got for this enormous government effort? Widespread child-care shortages across Ontario.

For example, according to the City of Ottawa, the number of children (aged 0 to 5 years) on child-care waitlists has ballooned by more than 300 per cent since 2019, there are significant disparities in affordable child-care access “with nearly half of neighbourhoods underserved, and limited access in suburban and rural areas,” and families face “significantly higher” costs for before-and-after-school care for school-age children.

In addition, Ottawa families find the system “complex and difficult to navigate” and “fewer child care options exist for children with special needs.” And while 42 per cent of surveyed parents need flexible child care (weekends, evenings, part-time care), only one per cent of child-care centres offer these flexible options. These are clearly not encouraging statistics, and show that a government-knows-best approach does not properly anticipate the diverse needs of diverse families.

Moreover, according to the Peel Region’s 2025 pre-budget submission to the federal government (essentially, a list of asks and recommendations), it “has maximized its for-profit allocation, leaving 1,460 for-profit spaces on a waitlist.” In other words, families can’t access $10-per-day child care—the central promise of the plan—because the government has capped the number of for-profit centres.

Similarly, according to Halton Region’s pre-budget submission to the provincial government, “no additional families can be supported with affordable child care” because, under current provincial rules, government funding can only be used to reduce child-care fees for families already in the program.

And according to a March 2025 Oxford County report, the municipality is experiencing a shortage of child-care staff and access challenges for low-income families and children with special needs. The report includes a grim bureaucratic predication that “provincial expansion targets do not reflect anticipated child care demand.”

Child-care access is also a problem provincewide. In Stratford, which has a population of roughly 33,000, the municipal government reports that more than 1,000 children are on a child-care waitlist. Similarly in Port Colborne (population 20,000), the city’s chief administrative officer told city council in April 2025 there were almost 500 children on daycare waitlists at the beginning of the school term. As of the end of last year, Guelph and Wellington County reportedly had a total of 2,569 full-day child-care spaces for children up to age four, versus a waitlist of 4,559 children—in other words, nearly two times as many children on a waitlist compared to the number of child-care spaces.

More examples. In Prince Edward County, population around 26,000, there are more than 400 children waitlisted for licensed daycare. In Kawartha Lakes and Haliburton County, the child-care waitlist is about 1,500 children long and the average wait time is four years. And in St. Mary’s, there are more than 600 children waitlisted for child care, but in recent years town staff have only been able to move 25 to 30 children off the wait list annually.

The numbers speak for themselves. Massive government spending and control over child care has created havoc for Ontario families and made child-care access worse. This cannot be a surprise. Quebec’s child-care system has been largely government controlled for decades, with poor results. Why would Ontario be any different? And how long will Premier Ford allow this debacle to continue before he asks the new prime minister to rethink the child-care policy of his predecessor?

Matthew Lau

Adjunct Scholar, Fraser Institute
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