Connect with us
[bsa_pro_ad_space id=12]

Energy

What doubling the grid really means

Published

10 minute read

From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy

By Brian Zinchuk

” imagine if someone said in the next 25 years and 11 months, we must twin every single freeway, highway, grid road, street and alleyway, across the entire country, at the same time. And along the way, we have to replace up to 89 per cent of the existing infrastructure, as well, because it is no longer considered adequate “

Recently my daughter called me while on her way back from a Costco run in Regina, heading home to Weyburn.

She noted that it appears they are twinning the highway between Regina and Weyburn. Indeed, they are, I explained. And several years later, they’ll probably get it all the way to Weyburn. Maybe by the time I retire, if I live that long, they’ll get as far as Estevan.

Indeed, those timelines are likely pretty close to reality, if the twinning of Highway 16, from Saskatoon to Lloydminster, was any indication. I used to drive from Saskatoon to North Battleford to get the newspaper I was working for printed, with road construction for much of that. And it took several more years to complete the Battlefords to Lloydminster portion. I was fortunate enough to be present at the ceremony for that. It was significant enough that Premier Lorne Calvert came out.

Twinning a major highway is a substantial undertaking. Historically, Saskatchewan could usually only afford to work on three separate areas at a time, typically doing 20 kilometres per year in each stretch. That was all the provincial finances could handle.

By adding an additional two lanes, you are effectively doubling the capacity of that major piece of infrastructure. It’s not easy, not cheap, and not fast.

Now imagine if someone said in the next 25 years and 11 months, we must twin every single freeway, highway, grid road, street and alleyway, across the entire country, at the same time. And along the way, we have to replace up to 89 per cent of the existing infrastructure, as well, because it is no longer considered adequate.

You’d probably think they were living in a dreamland, or quite possibly stark raving mad.

And yet this is precisely what the federal government is proposing, nay, demanding, of Canadians from St. Johns to Victoria to Tuktoyaktuk.

In order to save the world from anthropogenic (manmade climate change) and attain a “Net Zero by 2050” economy, we must increase the size of the electrical grid by a factor of 2.5x. And for Saskatchewan and Alberta, who on any given day get up to 88 and 94 per cent of their power, respectively, from fossil fuels, they must also replace that existing gas and coal power generation with non-emitting sources, at the same time as they’re building out the truly massive expansion.

The first reference I saw of the federal Liberal government’s intentions of this was in the 2023 budget, which noted expanding the electrical grid by a factor of 2.2 to 3.4 times. By August, when they released the proposed Clean Electricity Regulations, the government seemed to settle on a factor of 2.5 times for the high demand scenario.

So in the highway twinning example, that would be adding three lanes, not two, to every two lane highway, grid road, street and alleyway. For an existing four lane highway, you would need to add six lanes. For a six lane freeway like Ontario’s 401, you’d need to add an additional nine lanes, finding the right of way space, concrete, rebar, gravel, and asphalt for all of this. Again, all at the same time, in 25 years and 11 months.

There are several thrusts that the federal government is pushing. First, by 2035, they want to totally eliminate gasoline and diesel from new light vehicle sales. There’s currently only eight retail hydrogen fueling stations listed by the federal government and Shell in the entire country. There could be more, but they’re not listed. Realistically this means battery-powered electric vehicles (EVs). But nearly all of those EVs will require charging at home each night (and especially during winter, pre-conditioning those batteries, keeping them warm).

So every residence in the country will require 30 amp chargers for cars, and 80 amp chargers for pickups.

But the government is also now moving away from fossil fuels for home, heating, too. This was indicative of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s pause on the carbon tax for home heating oil (primarily used in Atlantic Canada, although I grew up in a house with that system). To do so, the feds are offering “free” installations of heat pumps (which are wholly inadequate at -30 temperatures, let alone the -44 seen in Alberta in mid-January). And those could be up to another 50 amps, per heat pump.

And that’s just residential, never mind commercial or industrial.

The Clean Electricity Regulations are meant to force fossil fuel power generation to go away. And since wind frequently drops to nothing, and the sun goes down every day, the only real alternative is massive expansion of nuclear power across Canada. We’re talking small modular reactors by the dozen in Alberta, Saskatchewan, and to a lesser extent, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick.

On Jan. 30, SaskPower announced a formalized agreement with General Electric-Hitachi for small modular reactors. But when I asked how many they plan on building, the CEO wouldn’t say. But he did speak of increasing the provincial grid from 5,400 megawatt now to 13,000 to 15,000 megawatts.

Hydro Quebec just released their plans to double their grid. Yet, perhaps miraculously, they’re not saying how many, if any, new dams will need to be built.

This doubling of the grid (actually 2.5x, but that’s not easy to say), means we’re going to need not only additional generation, but transmission lines, distribution lines, back alley pedestals, and wiring to every home, business and factory in the country. Where the materials come from? The contractors and workers? Will Not In My Back Yard (NIMBY) be universally trampled on by eminent domain orders, for the good of the planet? Or will it be a continuation of Build Absolutely Nothing Anywhere Near Anything Syndrome (BANANAS)?

A very real example is the Trans Mountain Pipeline. The original was built in something like 16 months, from scratching dirt to oil flowing. The expansion is taking a hell of a lot longer. Work started in 2018, and it is still not done. Any change in the plan had to go back to the Canadian Energy Regulator. Some First Nations fought it every step of the way.

Now do this for every single piece of existing power infrastructure. Wrap your head around that for a minute.

This supposed energy transition, from fossil fuels to electric everything, does not work if you cannot build out the electrical infrastructure, everywhere, and essentially all at in the next 25 years and 11 months. Either the timelines need to be stretched to a generational scale, or more realistically, the whole concept needs to be entirely rethought.

As Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe has said more than once, “We will not attempt the impossible  when it comes to power production.”

 

Brian Zinchuk is editor and owner of Pipeline Online, and occasional contributor to the Frontier Centre for Public Policy. He can be reached at [email protected].

Todayville is a digital media and technology company. We profile unique stories and events in our community. Register and promote your community event for free.

Follow Author

Alberta

Alberta’s number of inactive wells trending downward

Published on

Aspenleaf Energy vice-president of wells Ron Weber at a clean-up site near Edmonton.

From the Canadian Energy Centre

By Deborah Jaremko

Aspenleaf Energy brings new life to historic Alberta oil field while cleaning up the past

In Alberta’s oil patch, some companies are going beyond their obligations to clean up inactive wells.

Aspenleaf Energy operates in the historic Leduc oil field, where drilling and production peaked in the 1950s.

In the last seven years, the privately-held company has spent more than $40 million on abandonment and reclamation, which it reports is significantly more than the minimum required by the Alberta Energy Regulator (AER).

CEO Bryan Gould sees reclaiming the legacy assets as like paying down a debt.

“To me, it’s not a giant bill for us to pay to accelerate the closure and it builds our reputation with the community, which then paves the way for investment and community support for the things we need to do,” he said.

“It just makes business sense to us.”

Aspenleaf, which says it has decommissioned two-thirds of its inactive wells in the Leduc area, isn’t alone in going beyond the requirements.

Producers in Alberta exceeded the AER’s minimum closure spend in both years of available data since the program was introduced in 2022.

That year, the industry-wide closure spend requirement was set at $422 million, but producers spent more than $696 million, according to the AER.

In 2023, companies spent nearly $770 million against a requirement of $700 million.

Alberta’s number of inactive wells is trending downward. The AER’s most recent report shows about 76,000 inactive wells in the province, down from roughly 92,000 in 2021.

In the Leduc field, new development techniques will make future cleanup easier and less costly, Gould said.

That’s because horizontal drilling allows several wells, each up to seven kilometres long, to originate from the same surface site.

“Historically, Leduc would have been developed with many, many sites with single vertical wells,” Gould said.

“This is why the remediation going back is so cumbersome. If you looked at it today, all that would have been centralized in one pad.

“Going forward, the environmental footprint is dramatically reduced compared to what it was.”

During and immediately after a well abandonment for Aspenleaf Energy near Edmonton. Photos for the Canadian Energy Centre

Gould said horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing give the field better economics, extending the life of a mature asset.

“We can drill more wells, we can recover more oil and we can pay higher royalties and higher taxes to the province,” he said.

Aspenleaf has also drilled about 3,700 test holes to assess how much soil needs cleanup. The company plans a pilot project to demonstrate a method that would reduce the amount of digging and landfilling of old underground materials while ensuring the land is productive and viable for use.

Crew at work on a well abandonment for Aspenleaf Energy near Edmonton. Photo for the Canadian Energy Centre

“We did a lot of sampling, and for the most part what we can show is what was buried in the ground by previous operators historically has not moved anywhere over 70 years and has had no impact to waterways and topography with lush forestry and productive agriculture thriving directly above and adjacent to those sampled areas,” he said.

At current rates of about 15,000 barrels per day, Aspenleaf sees a long runway of future production for the next decade or longer.

Revitalizing the historic field while cleaning up legacy assets is key to the company’s strategy.

“We believe we can extract more of the resource, which belongs to the people of Alberta,” Gould said.

“We make money for our investors, and the people of the province are much further ahead.”

Continue Reading

Energy

Canada Cannot Become an Energy Superpower With its Regulatory Impediments

Published on

From Energy Now

By Yogi Schulz


Get the Latest Canadian Focused Energy News Delivered to You! It’s FREE: Quick Sign-Up Here


Prime Minister Carney wants Canada to become an energy superpower. It’s a worthy goal because Canada has rich, undeveloped energy resources. Many Canadians happily endorse his goal because it achieves these benefits:

  • Economic growth and prosperity for Canadians.
  • Reduce the adverse consequences of American tariffs.
  • Additional tax revenue that reduces the mountain of Canadian public debt.
  • Improved energy security and reduced cost for Canadians in Eastern Canada.
  • Improved energy security for Canada’s international energy customers.
  • Alternative energy supply options for NATO allies to replace Russian energy.
  • Greenhouse gas (GHG) reductions that occur when Canadian high ESG energy replaces other energy sources.

However, Canada can achieve these benefits only by overcoming multiple regulatory impediments, including those described below.

Interprovincial trade barriers

Interprovincial trade barriers impose costs on all industries. Consumers, not companies, bear these costs. A Macdonald-Laurier Institute study estimated that eliminating interprovincial trade barriers could boost Canada’s economy by between 4.4 and 7.9 percent over the long term or between $110 and $200 billion per year. Examples of interprovincial trade barriers that affect the oil and gas industry include:

  • Pools that cross provincial boundaries: Producers must build two higher-cost processing facilities, one on each side of the border.
  • Gathering systems that cross provincial boundaries: Producers must obtain a federal pipeline permit, which requires a multi-year approval process, to build a pipeline that crosses a provincial border.
  • Many minor technical differences: Provinces set their own rules, standards, and certifications for topics such as vehicle weight, length, and safety protocols. These differences increase producer operating costs.
  • Professional licensing: Individuals, such as those in skilled trades, must undergo a lengthy, costly process to obtain a license to work in another province, even if they are already certified elsewhere.
  • Administrative hurdles: Producers operating in multiple provinces face a complex web of permit, license, and reporting requirements that vary from one province to the next.
  • Geographical barriers: The dimensional limitations of tunnels in the Rocky Mountains create a shipping barrier for producers, adding costs when importing large facility components.

For Canada to achieve energy superpower status, reducing interprovincial trade barriers will be necessary to enhance its competitiveness. The Canadian Free Trade Agreement (CFTA) and the Free Trade and Labour Mobility in Canada Act are encouraging federal initiatives to reduce interprovincial trade barriers. The outrageous Trump tariffs have also provided some provinces with a new incentive to lower or eliminate some of their barriers. However, the “mutual recognition” approach may be more symbolic than substantive.

Provincial regulatory incompatibilities

Oil and natural gas producers face slightly different regulations in every province and territory. These incompatibilities incur avoidable operational costs and erode Canada’s competitiveness in the global investment capital market.

Energy industry regulators operate in every province and territory where oil and natural gas are produced. These regulators have independently produced large volumes of regulations that are similar but far from identical. Most of these regulations are derived from those first written in Alberta and various US jurisdictions. Alberta created the first Canadian energy industry regulator because most of the resources are located within its borders.

So far, energy industry regulators have only harmonized the following:

  • Canadian Standards Association (CSA) Z662 Oil and Gas Pipeline Systems. British Columbia, Alberta and Saskatchewan have adopted this standard.
  • Directive 017 – Measurement Requirements for Oil and Gas Operations. Alberta and Saskatchewan have adopted this directive.

Unfortunately, only these two documents, among many dozens, have been harmonized. Parochial thinking appears to be a significant impediment to more harmonization. For example:

  • Some Canadian regulators participate in the Western Regulators Forum (WRF). However, the WRF has yet to harmonize any regulations.
  • Over two decades ago, the Alberta Department of Energy and Minerals sponsored the development of Petrinex with a vision of energy industry-government data management cooperation across multiple provinces. However, the vision has not been realized because the provinces built individual, incompatible systems to protect their turf.

“Producers write more government submissions than technical papers – ten times more. Submissions consume significant effort from technical professionals and include specific oil and gas technical information such as fracking schemes, SAGD operations or facility modifications,” says Granger Low, of Regaware Systems Ltd. “When producers can easily search previous submissions using the artificial intelligence of AppIntel AI, they take advantage of Alberta’s uniquely remarkable oil and gas technical advances, and avoid the delays related to over-regulation and resubmission.”

For Canada to achieve energy superpower status, harmonizing more provincial and territorial oil and natural gas industry regulations will be required to improve its competitiveness.

Provincial regulatory issues

Dealing with regulations is a cost that all oil and natural gas producers bear. Regulations are desirable and necessary to a point. Issues where the energy industry regulators could improve performance include:

  • Reducing and simplifying the enormous number of directives. The issue is that the directives contain extensive related best practices that, while valuable, become indistinguishable from regulatory requirements.
  • Reducing and simplifying the permit application processes for wells, facilities and pipelines. How the current complexity helps regulators fulfill their mandate is unclear.
  • Simplifying reporting and compliance assessment would reduce administrative costs for both producers and regulators.
  • Eliminating the APMC in Alberta would reduce producers’ administrative costs and increase Crown royalty revenue. This article describes the details: It’s Time to Retire the APMC – The APMC Mandate Has Expired, Its Cost is Now Avoidable.
  • Failing to address data quality issues for wells, digital well logs, and cores undermines one of Alberta’s competitive advantages.

For Canada to achieve energy superpower status, reducing the cost of regulatory applications and compliance is a component of improving its competitiveness.

Taxation disparities

Oil and natural gas producers encounter taxation disparities across provinces. The following disparities affect geographic investment decisions:

  • Crown Royalty and Freehold Production Tax calculations and related settlement processes vary considerably by province and type of production.
  • Corporate income tax rates and reporting vary by province.
  • The combined GST and PST/HST rate varies from 5% in Alberta to 15% in some other provinces.
  • Oil and natural gas facility property tax rates and reporting vary by province.

Simplifying these taxation disparities would reduce administrative costs for both producers and the Crown. The combination of taxes and fees that producers pay in Canada is enough to cause some to invest in more profitable jurisdictions.

For Canada to achieve energy superpower status, reducing and harmonizing taxation disparities is a prerequisite to encourage more investment in production.

Additional costs that every producer accepts

Overcoming impediments is particularly important to Canadian competitiveness because the Canadian oil and gas industry incurs higher operating costs than the industry does in most other jurisdictions. The higher cost categories include:

  • Wages and benefits.
  • Health, safety and environmental standards.
  • Abandonment standards.
  • Disclosure of intellectual property in publicly-accessible permit application documents.
  • Lower staff productivity and added heating costs due to lower winter temperatures.

No one is suggesting lowering these Canadian standards and expectations. However, the associated costs increase the urgency of reducing other regulatory impediments to maintain Canada’s competitiveness.

Conclusions

Canada has the resources to become an energy superpower and realize the immense economic, strategic, and environmental benefits that are available. Policymakers can contribute by harmonizing regulations and removing interprovincial trade barriers to ensure investment in Canadian energy is competitive on world financial markets.


Yogi Schulz has over 40 years of experience in information technology in various industries. He writes for Engineering.comEnergyNow.caEnergyNow.com and other trade publications. Yogi works extensively in the petroleum industry to select and implement financial, production revenue accounting, land & contracts, and geotechnical systems. He manages projects that arise from changes in business requirements, the need to leverage technology opportunities, and mergers. His specialties include IT strategy, web strategy, and systems project management.

Continue Reading

Trending

X