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U.S. Supreme Court to rule on major cases in 2025

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The U.S. Supreme Court has released a string of landmark rulings recently, from sending the abortion issue back to the states to granting a measure of presidential immunity to the overturning of Chevron deference, significantly weakening federal rulemaking power.

Supreme Court terms begin and end in October, and heading into the new year there are major cases awaiting.

Here are five of the biggest cases in which the Supreme Court is expected to weigh in by the end of this term:

Tik Tok Ban

Many lawmakers and national security experts have raised concerns about the invasive software attached to Tik Tok, a hugely popular entertainment app that reportedly has about 150 million active users.

China is the parent company for the app and has access to millions of Americans personal data through the Tik Tok software, which is unusually invasive and collects much more personal data on its users than other similar apps.

President Joe Biden signed into law a ban on the app unless it is sold to a U.S. company, citing these concerns.

While that ban had bipartisan support, President-elect Donald Trump weighed in on the case this week, asking the Supreme Court to delay the ban from going into effect.

“In light of these interests – including, most importantly, his overarching responsibility for the United States’ national security and foreign policy –  President Trump opposes banning TikTok in the United States at this juncture, and seeks the ability to resolve the issues at hand through political means once he takes office,” Trump’s lawyer said in a brief filed with the court.

During the presidential campaign, Trump promised to “save Tik Tok.”

“Furthermore, President Trump alone possesses the consummate dealmaking expertise, the electoral mandate, and the political will to negotiate a resolution to save the platform while addressing the national security concerns expressed by the Government – concerns which President Trump himself has acknowledged,” the brief read.

Transgender Surgeries for Minors

The Supreme Court heard oral arguments last fall in United States v. Skrmetti, a case that considers the constitutionality of a Tennessee bill that bans transgender surgeries and hormones for minors.

Those medical procedures have become increasingly controversial since they can sterilize the recipients and are sometimes later regretted when the children come of age.

The Supreme Court ruling could kill or encourage similar efforts in states around the country.

Ghost Guns

In Garland v. VanDerStok, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms, and Explosives faces a legal challenge to its Biden-era rule attempting to block “ghost guns,” firearms without serial numbers that can be 3-D printed or put together by someone who acquires individual parts.

In particular, kits can be bought online that allow buyers to assemble a weapon. The case in question will require the justices to determine whether a disassembled kit of firearm parts is still considered a “firearm” and therefore subject to federal rules, especially rules requiring a serial number.

During oral arguments last fall, justices seemed skeptical of the legal challenge to the federal rule.

Age Verification for Pornography

The Supreme Court is expected to hear oral arguments Jan. 15 in Free Speech Coalition v. Paxton, a legal challenge to a Texas law requiring pornography sites to use age verification to prevent minors from seeing their pornographic content.

Critics have cited free speech concerns while proponents of the law have pointed out that there is legal precedent for age verification which is required for other products like alcohol and tobacco and has been required to view R-rated movies in theaters.

Pornography sites have pushed back on the law, which has been adopted in a similar fashion in about 20 Republican states around the country.

“Let me put this simply: these companies do not have a right to expose children to pornography,” Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton said in a statement. “Texas has a clear interest in protecting children, and we have been successful defending this commonsense age verification law against a powerful global industry.”

Environmental Impact

The Supreme Court in December heard oral arguments in Seven County Infrastructure Coalition v. Eagle County, a case where justices will consider just how expansive the environmental constraints can become on federal agency actions.

Under the National Environmental Policy Act, federal agencies are required to assess the “foreseeable impact” on the environment of their actions.

However, just how broad that assessment must be is up for consideration.

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Business

Ontario suspends electricity surcharge after Trump doubles tariffs

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Ontario Premier Doug Ford announced Tuesday that the province is suspending its 25% surcharge on electricity exports to the U.S. following President Trump’s decision to double tariffs on Canadian aluminum and steel.

Key Details:

  • Ford confirmed Ontario’s suspension of the electricity surcharge after Trump’s tariff escalation put Canadian industries under pressure.

  • The Ontario premier said he and Lutnick would meet with U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer on Thursday in Washington to discuss a “renewed USMCA.”

  • In a statement on X, Ford acknowledged the move, stating, “In response, Ontario agreed to suspend its 25 percent surcharge on exports of electricity to Michigan, New York and Minnesota.”

Diving Deeper:

Just hours after President Trump doubled tariffs on Canadian aluminum and steel, Ontario Premier Doug Ford announced Tuesday that the province will suspend its 25% electricity surcharge on power exports to three U.S. states. The policy reversal comes as Ontario seeks to avoid further economic retaliation from Washington.

Trump’s latest round of tariffs—upping duties on Canadian steel and aluminum to 50%—were issued in direct response to Ontario’s electricity tax on U.S. consumers in Michigan, New York, and Minnesota. The move threatened to escalate an already tense trade standoff, with Trump warning of additional penalties targeting Canada’s auto sector if broader trade disputes weren’t addressed.

Ford took to X to confirm Ontario’s decision to pull back on the surcharge, saying he had a “productive conversation” with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. The two will meet in Washington on Thursday alongside U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer to discuss a possible “renewed USMCA,” signaling a potential shift in trade relations between the two nations.

“In response, Ontario agreed to suspend its 25 percent surcharge on exports of electricity to Michigan, New York and Minnesota,” Ford and Lutnick stated in a joint announcement.

The suspension of Ontario’s surcharge marks a significant concession in the ongoing trade dispute, which has sent shockwaves through financial markets and rattled Canadian industries. Trump had labeled Ontario’s surcharge an “abusive threat” and pledged to take decisive action to ensure American energy security.

Beyond the immediate tariff battle, Ford’s willingness to engage in talks about a “renewed USMCA” could indicate Canada’s growing concern over Trump’s broader trade agenda. The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, originally signed during Trump’s first term, remains a key economic framework, but Trump has long criticized Canada’s tariffs on American dairy and its limited contributions to North American security.

While Ontario’s suspension of the electricity surcharge could ease tensions in the short term, the broader U.S.-Canada trade relationship remains in flux as Trump continues pushing for more favorable terms for American industries.

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Elon Musk says X targeted by “massive cyberattack” originating in Ukraine

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Quick Hit:

Elon Musk revealed Monday that X was the target of a “massive cyberattack,” with IP addresses linked to the Ukraine region. Musk noted the attack was highly coordinated and suggested it could involve a large group or a nation-state.

Key Details:

  • Speaking to Fox Business’ Larry Kudlow, Musk said, “We’re not exactly sure what happened, but there was a massive cyberattack to try to bring down the ecosystem with IP addresses originating in the Ukraine area.”

  • Earlier Monday, Musk posted about the attack on X, stating, “There was (still is) a massive cyberattack against X,” adding that the platform faces daily attacks but this one was particularly well-resourced.

  • Musk, who acquired X (formerly Twitter) for $44 billion in October 2022, has faced increasing pressure as his companies, including Tesla and SpaceX, deal with coordinated protests that he alleges are backed by left-wing billionaires like George Soros and Reid Hoffman.

Diving Deeper:

X suffered a significant cyberattack Monday, according to its owner Elon Musk. During an interview with Fox Business’ Larry Kudlow, Musk said that while the full details were unclear, the attack sought to “bring down the ecosystem” and had origins tied to the Ukraine region. He suggested the attack was well-funded and likely involved either a large, coordinated group or a nation-state.

Musk had earlier addressed the incident on X, stating that while the platform regularly faces cyber threats, this particular attack was on a different scale. “We get attacked every day, but this was done with a lot of resources,” he wrote, adding that efforts were underway to trace those responsible.

The timing of the cyberattack raises questions, as it comes amid widespread protests against Musk’s other ventures, particularly Tesla. Musk has accused high-profile Democrat donors, including George Soros and LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman, of financing the demonstrations. He has not provided direct evidence to support the claim, but the protests have coincided with an intensifying political battle over Musk’s influence in both the private sector and government.

Musk’s role in the Trump administration as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency has drawn praise from the president. Trump has credited Musk with spearheading efforts to reduce government waste and save taxpayers billions. Meanwhile, Musk’s companies, including SpaceX, hold lucrative contracts with the Department of Defense, making them frequent targets of scrutiny and opposition from political adversaries.

As X continues to investigate the cyberattack, the broader implications remain unclear. Whether a nation-state or an organized cybercriminal group was behind the attack could have significant ramifications, particularly given the geopolitical tensions surrounding Ukraine.

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