Alberta
Alberta government must reform spending to avoid deficits
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From the Fraser Institute
By Tegan Hill
According to Premier Danielle Smith, the Alberta government is creating a new committee—composed of the premier, Finance Minister Nate Horner, Technology and Innovation Minister Nate Glubish, three treasury board members, and three private members—to review government spending in the province. Smith says the committee will find savings so her government can deliver on the promised personal income tax cut. But in fact, the need for a thorough program review is much broader than that.
A bit of background.
During the election campaign, Smith promised to create a new 8 per cent tax bracket for personal income below $60,000, which is expected to cost provincial coffers $1.4 billion annually. While the Smith government’s 2024 budget delayed this tax cut, the premier recently said a “substantial” cut is coming soon.
According to Smith, the committee will review “every single program in every single department to see if there are ways that we can remove wasteful spending, move spending from low-priority areas to high-priority areas, find ways that we can use technology to be able to deliver services better, and accelerate that personal income tax cut.”
Again, the idea of a program-by-program review is a good one. But the goal must span beyond finding savings for a single personal income tax cut. Alberta has a big spending problem and it must be meaningfully addressed.
Simply put, Alberta governments have a bad habit of increasing spending during the good times of high resource revenue and budget surpluses, like the province is currently experiencing, but fail to rein in spending when resource revenues fall. This pattern has led to historically high levels of government spending—and budget deficits—even in more recent years.
To be clear, the Smith government introduced a rule to limit increases in operating spending (e.g. spending on annual items such as government employee compensation) to the rate of population growth and inflation. But while this a step in the right direction, the government’s earlier spending increases since 2022 mean it continues to rely on relatively high—but very volatile—resource revenue to balance its budget.
Indeed, according to this year’s provincial budget, program spending this year will reach $14,334 per Albertan, which is $1,603 more per person (inflation-adjusted) than the government originally planned to spend in the 2022 mid-year budget update, Smith’s first fiscal plan as premier.
In total, the Alberta government will spend a projected $6,037 more per Albertan (inflation-adjusted) over four years from 2023/24 to 2026/27 than it planned in the 2022 mid-year budget update.
In other words, the government’s current plan to restrain spending by the rate of inflation and population growth is starting from a higher base level of spending. As a result, Alberta remains at risk of incurring a budget deficit when relatively high resource revenue declines.
For perspective, if resource revenue fell to its average over the last 10 years—rather than being at historic highs—the government’s $367 million projected surplus for this year would immediately fall to a deficit of $7.4 billion, even before the billion-dollar tax cut that Smith says is coming soon.
The Alberta government should use its program review to more closely align ongoing spending with stable ongoing levels of government revenue rather than onetime windfalls. Otherwise, Alberta will continue on its boom-and-bust rollercoaster that inevitably leads back to deficits and more debt.
Author:
Alberta
Open letter to Ottawa from Alberta strongly urging National Economic Corridor
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Canada’s wealth is based on its success as a trading nation. Canada is blessed with immense resources spread across a vast country. It has succeeded as a small, open economy with an enviable standard of living that has been able to provide what the world needs.
Canada has been stuck in a situation where it cannot complete nation‑building projects like the Canadian Pacific Railway that was completed in 1885, or the Trans Canada Highway that was completed in the 1960s. With the uncertainty of U.S. tariffs looming over our country and province, Canada needs to take bold action to revitalize the productivity and competitiveness of its economy – going east to west and not always relying on north-south trade. There’s no better time than right now to politically de-risk these projects.
A lack of leadership from the federal government has led to the following:
- Inadequate federal funding for trade infrastructure.
- A lack of investment is stifling the infrastructure capacity we need to diversify our exports. This is despite federally commissioned reports like the 2022 report by the National Supply Chain Task Force indicating the investment need will be trillions over the next 50 years.
- Federal red tape, like the Impact Assessment Act.
- Burdensome regulation has added major costs and significant delays to projects, like the Roberts Bank Terminal 2 project, a proposed container facility at Vancouver, which spent more than a decade under federal review.
- Opaque funding programs, like the National Trade Corridors Fund (NTCF).
- Which offers a pattern of unclear criteria for decisions and lack of response. This program has not funded any provincial highway projects in Alberta, despite the many applications put forward by the Government of Alberta. In fact, we’ve gone nearly 3 years without decisions on some project applications.
- Ineffective policies that limit economic activity.
- Measures that pit environmental and economic objectives in stark opposition to one another instead of seeking innovative win-win solutions hinder Canada’s overall productivity and investment climate. One example is the moratorium on shipping crude through northern B.C. waters, which effectively ended Enbridge’s Northern Gateway proposal and has limited Alberta’s ability to ship its oil to Asian markets.
In a federal leadership vacuum, Alberta has worked to advance economic corridors across Canada. In April 2023, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba signed an agreement to collaborate on joint infrastructure networks meant to boost trade and economic growth across the Prairies. Alberta also signed a similar economic corridor agreement with the Northwest Territories in July 2024. Additionally, Alberta would like to see an agreement among all 7 western provinces and territories, and eventually the entire country, to collaborate on economic corridors.
Through our collaboration with neighbouring jurisdictions, we will spur the development of economic corridors by reducing regulatory delays and attracting investment. We recognize the importance of working with Indigenous communities on the development of major infrastructure projects, which will be key to our success in these endeavours.
However, provinces and territories cannot do this alone. The federal government must play its part to advance our country’s economic corridors that we need from coast to coast to coast to support our economic future. It is time for immediate action.
Alberta recommends the federal government take the following steps to strengthen Canada’s economic corridors and supply chains by:
- Creating an Economic Corridor Agency to identify and maintain economic corridors across provincial boundaries, with meaningful consultation with both Indigenous groups and industry.
- Increasing federal funding for trade-enabling infrastructure, such as roads, rail, ports, in-land ports, airports and more.
- Streamlining regulations regarding trade-related infrastructure and interprovincial trade, especially within economic corridors. This would include repealing or amending the Impact Assessment Act and other legislation to remove the uncertainty and ensure regulatory provisions are proportionate to the specific risk of the project.
- Adjusting the policy levers that that support productivity and competitiveness. This would include revisiting how the federal government supports airports, especially in the less-populated regions of Canada.
To move forward expeditiously on the items above, I propose the establishment of a federal/provincial/territorial working group. This working group would be tasked with creating a common position on addressing the economic threats facing Canada, and the need for mitigating trade and trade-enabling infrastructure. The group should identify appropriate governance to ensure these items are presented in a timely fashion by relative priority and urgency.
Alberta will continue to be proactive and tackle trade issues within its own jurisdiction. From collaborative memorandums of understanding with the Prairies and the North, to reducing interprovincial trade barriers, to fostering innovative partnerships with Indigenous groups, Alberta is working within its jurisdiction, much like its provincial and territorial colleagues.
We ask the federal government to join us in a new approach to infrastructure development that ensures Canada is productive and competitive for generations to come and generates the wealth that ensures our quality of life is second to none.
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Devin Dreeshen
Devin Dreeshen was sworn in as Minister of Transportation and Economic Corridors on October 24, 2022.
Alberta
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