By Dan McTeague

That light at the end of the tunnel we thought was an oncoming train? It might be the sun after all!

“Tis the season to be jolly,” says the song, and commonsense-loving Canadians would do well to follow that dictum this Christmas season.

To be sure, Justin Trudeau’s nine years in power have harmed our country and its people immeasurably. Trudeau has waged a multi-front war on both the production and consumption of hydrocarbon energy, the backbone of the Canadian economy.

The Trudeau government, devoted as it is to the damaging Net Zero ideology, instituted a Carbon Tax, appropriately set to increase every year on April Fool’s Day, of all days, so that Canadians would get progressively acclimated to paying more for energy every year. Like frogs in a slowly heating pot.

He was so devoted to this increase that he refused to postpone it during the dark early days of the COVID-19 pandemic when no one knew what was going on, unemployment was rising sharply, and the country was looking at a severe economic downturn. That’s ideology for you.

The Carbon Tax, compounded as it is by the less-known Clean Fuel Standard, which I’ve dubbed the Second Carbon Tax, has been an albatross around the neck of the Canadian economy, making it difficult for us to keep our heads above water. It has made it increasingly more expensive to heat our homes in a famously frigid climate, and to gas up our cars in a huge country where driving is a necessity.

Those are its obvious consequences, but somewhat less commented on has been its secondary effects on the price of goods and services. The Carbon Tax raises the cost of business at every step of our supply chain, from the farm to the grocery store, and that cost is ultimately passed onto the consumer.

And then there are the Electric Vehicle (EV) mandates, which will become an issue much sooner than you realize. The Trudeau government has mandated that by 2035, in just about a decade, every new car, SUV, or light truck sold in Canada must be an EV. This despite the fact that EVs are less reliable — once again, especially in the cold.

Charging EVs is extremely inconvenient, generally taking hours. And that’s if you can even find a charger — Natural Resources Canada estimates that we will need to build about 450,000 charging stations to meet the needs of the country, if Trudeau’s EV transition is going to work at all. Right now we have about 28,000.

They’re also expensive to produce, which is why the Trudeau government (along with their partners in crime, the Ford government in Ontario) have been heavily subsidizing their production. And they’re expensive to buy, which is why the government has been subsidizing their purchase. Which is to say, billions of taxpayer dollars are being shoveled into both ends of the EV dumpster fire!

And one of the most recent outrages perpetrated by this government has been the emission cap, which as I said in these pages a few months ago, “make Canada the only country in the world which willingly and purposefully stifles its single largest revenue stream.”

After all, a report commissioned by the Government of Alberta found that an Emissions Cap would lead to a 10% decrease in Alberta’s oil production and a 16% decrease in conventional natural gas production. The report estimates that “over the 2030 to 2040 period… real GDP in Alberta is $191 billion lower and real GDP in the Rest of Canada is $91 billion lower, compared to the baseline scenario.” Instead of growing, the economies of Alberta and Canada will have contracted by 2040, by 4.5% of GDP for the former and by 1.0% of GDP of the latter.

And if that is too abstract, it just means that working men and women, throughout our country, not just in our western provinces, will struggle to provide for their families, whether or not their professions have anything to do with oil and gas. That’s what a shrinking economy looks like.

Now, I could go on and on this way, touching on housing, crime, or rising unemployment, but a truly exhaustive list of Trudeaupian blunders might take us all the way to Easter. But I did open this article by counseling us all to rejoice, in the proper spirit of this season. And, despite this bleak picture, there is good reason to do so.

First off, rejoice because the results of Trudeau’s catastrophic governance have been noticed. Regular people have soured on his policies, particularly the supposedly “green” ones. Hammering away at the Carbon Tax has put Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives in a pretty good position to win the federal election we’re set to have on or before (preferably before) October 20, 2025. At which point we can begin the process of doing a significant course correction and putting the past 9 years behind us.

That is easier said than done. It will take a lot of hard work on the part of the Conservatives to undo the ideological policies which have made our lives unaffordable, and there will be the temptation to go after the low hanging fruit by, say, canceling the Carbon Tax and leaving the rest of the rotten Net Zero superstructure in place.

That would be bad, and if they try anything along those lines, I will be the first to call them on it. Even so, they are unlikely to actively make things worse, which makes them better than the Trudeau Liberals.

But more importantly, we should rejoice because politics isn’t everything. That’s easy to forget when we’re throwing elbows on Twitter/X and elsewhere, but there’s more to life than this. With all of our problems, we’re still blessed to live in a beautiful, peaceful country with abundant natural resources and full of good people.

So my advice to you, dear reader, is to make it a point during these holidays to spend some time with family and catch up with some old friends, whatever their political persuasion.

You won’t regret it.

Dan McTeague is President of Canadians for Affordable Energy.

From EnergyNow.ca

By Irina Slav

The facts behind energy transition are so staggeringly counter to common sense that the only way to achieve them is by force, and the only path ahead is failure.

I was going to wrap this eventful year with a nice little post of gratitude  but, as usual, the news flow has forced me to revise my plans. So much has happened in the last week days failing to report on it would be a real shame. You may want to put down the hot beverage or, then again, not put it down, you’re the master of you.

A few years ago, during some election campaign or other — we’ve had so many it’s hard to keep track — one of the most popular parties in Bulgaria chose as its slogan “Work, work, work!” Naturally, the slogan became the butt of many jokes almost immediately.

More recently, we were graced with the “Fight! Fight! Fight!” adage from the Trump campaign that was nowhere near as amusing. It also worked. Meanwhile, the transition army is moving fast towards a “Force! Force! Force!” stage in its efforts to keep the green ball rolling.

Consider the latest gem from the International Energy Agency, out this week. The press release for the report was headlined Global coal demand is set to plateau through 2027, with the subheader summary stating that “New IEA report finds that strong deployment of renewables is set to curb growth in coal use even as electricity demand surges, with China – the world’s biggest coal consumer – remaining pivotal.”

What the report actually admitted, however, was that coal supply and demand hit an all-time high this year, they are both likely to scale new highs next year and keep going in that direction until at least 2027. The way things are going with the transition, coal will probably continue growing beyond 2027 as well because much as Fatih and the Transitionettes want it to die, they can’t tell China and India what to do — or anyone else, really, when push comes to shove.

Push appears to have come to shove in Canada already, with the federal government suddenly deciding to walk back its plan for a net-zero grid by 2035. Now, it will be aiming for a net-zero grid by 2050, which is what is going to be happening elsewhere as well —except perhaps in the UK, where everyone’s gone truly insane but more on that later.

So, Canada last week released something called Clean Electricity Regulations that originally, I gather, were supposed to outline plans to remove hydrocarbons from its already pretty green grid by 2035. The provinces, however, objected. And they must have objected strongly enough for an ounce of sanity to crawl into the regulations. Resource minister Jonathan Wilkinson of “We are not interested in investing in LNG facilities” fame called it “flexibility”. Whatever works to make one feel good, I guess.

Here’s a fun fact: the new Clean Electricity Regulations with the revised target come out literally days after the Trudeau government pumped up its emission cut plan, aiming for cuts of 45-50% from 2005 by 2035. All it took was six days and the start of what might end up being complete government meltdown to reconsider that deadline and delay it by 15 years. But stranger things have happened and some are happening right now, one of them at the U.S. Department of Energy.

The regulator of the department, Inspector General Teri Donaldson said in an interim report that the loan office of the DoE should stop giving out loans to green project developers on suspicion of conflicts of interest, or, as Reuters put it, “contractors who vet them may be serving both the agency and potential borrowers.”

From Donaldson’s report: “The projects funded with this authority, which involve innovations in clean energy, advanced transportation, and tribal energy are inherently risky in part because these projects may have struggled to secure funding from traditional sources such as commercial banks and private equity investors.”

Yet these same projects got DoE funding, which naturally raises the question of whether this funding success was at least in part related to the department’s failure to ensure everyone involved in the process was impartial and driven exclusively by professional motives, and I cannot believe I managed to put this stinky situation so delicately.

Anyway, the DoE has struck back immediately, saying the report was full of errors, and accusing Donaldson of “fundamentally misunderstanding” the “implementation of contracting in the Loan Programs Office.” Yeah, that must be it. That’s why she was appointed Inspector General of the department — but by the Trump administration so it doesn’t count.

All of this, however, is pretty weak beer compared to what’s been happening in Europe. VW is not yet bankrupt and the lights are still on in Germany, for the time being, but in the UK, the government has apparently found a way to grow money on trees because the grid operators of the three constituent parts of the UK’s bigger island are planning to spend 77.4 billion pounds on grid upgrades with a view to accommodating more wind and solar into said grid.

The upgrade is a must if Labour’s 2030 decarbonization plan is to have a fighting chance even though the outcome of that fight is already clear and it rhymes with beet, feet, and meat. The money is to be spent between 2026 and 2031, which means that the money trees take two years to start bearing fruit.

Yet here is my concern: with every other form of plant life susceptible to the devastatingly catastrophic effects of climate change, who is to guarantee that the money trees will be spared the devastating catastrophe? No one, that’s who. The UK may fail to accomplish its task of decarbonizing the country’s grid because of the very climate change it wants to neutralize with that decarbonization, and how cruel of an irony is that? Very, is the answer.

Usually, the UK government is difficult to rival in insanity and anti-intelligence but this week we have a serious contender and it’s not Germany’s government. It’s Big Oil and the heavy industry. That’s right. Europe’s energy and heavy industries have been driven to insanity by the climate crusade army although I’d stop short of painting them as innocent victims.

They could have said something. They should’ve said something. And they should’ve said it loud and clear. But they didn’t, so now Big Oil and Big Heavy Industry are asking the EU to force — that’s right, force — consumers to buy their transition cost-loaded products. Because there is no other way of selling those products.

““We will need to focus on demand creation to achieve new investment prospects,” executives from the two sectors said in a letter to Wopke Hoekstra, EU climate commissioner, warning of an “industrial exodus” without intervention,” the FT reported this week.

It also reported that “companies trying to invest in production methods that may result in lower carbon emissions are “pricing themselves out of the market” due to high costs, and authorities need to step in to create demand for their products.” I think this is beautiful, in the same way that an orca catching its pray is beautiful, that is, in a rather terminal way.

I don’t normally like to brag about being right about things, not least because it’s invariably bad things I’m right about, so it is with a sigh of frustration and some boredom that I have to note I have been saying this for two years now — and of course I haven’t been the only one, far from it. The only way for the energy transition to work is through force, and a lot of it. The only way for the transition to work is to eliminate all alternatives to the Chosen Tech, and for some reason Big Oil and the heavy industry seem to believe this is a constructive approach to life, the universe and everything.

What I find most interesting in this situation is the fact that it is extremely easy to find evidence the forceful approach tends to result in outcomes that are the exact opposite of the intended ones. History is full of such evidence. Yet it appears the most essential industries for modern civilization have taken the green “It will work this time” pill and are eagerly digesting it. Which means two things we already knew: one, the transition is doomed as it has been from the start; and two, Europe’s going down unless it uses a fast-closing window to come to its senses. We all know it won’t — unless it’s forced to. Work, work, work, force, force, force, fight, fight, fight.

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