From the Canadian Taxpayers Federation

By Franco Terrazzano

The Canadian Taxpayers Federation is demanding spending cuts after the federal government broke through its own budget guardrail by running massive deficits and wasting $1 billion every week on debt interest charges as outlined in today’s Fall Economic Statement.

“Prime Minister Justin Trudeau went $20 billion over budget with his deficit,” said Franco Terrazzano, CTF Federal Director. “Trudeau said he had a guardrail in place to keep Canada’s finances safe and he just drove the deficit right through it.

“It’s dangerously irresponsible to blow through fiscal guardrails and the federal government needs to hit the brakes on spending immediately.”

The federal government repeatedly promised to keep the 2023-24 deficit within its own fiscal guardrail “at or below $40.1 billion.” However, today’s Fall Economic Statement shows the 2023-24 deficit was $61.9 billion. This year’s deficit is projected to be $48.3 billion.

The debt will total almost $1.3 trillion this year. When Trudeau first became prime minister, the debt was $616 billion. That means the Trudeau government is responsible for doubling the national debt.

Interest charges on the debt will cost taxpayers $53.7 billion this year. For context, the government will spend $52.1 billion through the Canada Health Transfer this year.

“Interest charges on the government credit card are costing taxpayers more than $1 billion every week,” Terrazzano said. “Years of massive deficits mean the government is wasting more money on debt interest charges than it’s sending to the provinces in health transfers.”

Budget 2024 forecasted spending this year to be $534.6 billion, but the Fall Economic Statement now forecasts spending to increase to $539.5 billion.

“Trudeau has lost control of the finances and our kids and grandkids will be paying the price for years to come,” Terrazzano said. “Canadians can’t afford to keep paying for a reckless government in Ottawa. Canadians need our federal government to cut spending and balance the budget.”

From the Fraser Institute

By Ben Eisen

At the same time the Trudeau government opened Canada’s borders to historic numbers of immigrants leading to an explosion in population, the federal workforce was growing even faster.. much faster.

Here’s a fact that all Canadians should understand. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has overseen the seven highest years of federal government spending in Canadian history (on a per-person basis, after adjusting for inflation).

The federal government’s high spending levels have produced a long string of budget deficits and growing mountain of debt. Federal net debt has approximately doubled in nominal terms since 2014/15 (one year before Trudeau took office), rising from $17,800 per person to $34,000 this year.

What’s driving all of this?

There are many factors, including the growth in the number of federal government employees. Our new study published by the Fraser Institute (based on data from the Parliamentary Budget Officer) found that after years of shrinking, the size of the federal government workforce began to grow in the mid-2010s. In fact, it began to grow significantly faster than the Canadian population.

To measure the growth, we used the federal government’s Full Time Equivalents (FTEs), which captures the expected work hours of a fulltime employee and allows for comparisons over time. In 2014/15, there were 340,669 FTE workers working directly for the federal government. By 2022/23 (the latest fiscal year of comparable data), this number had grown to 431,537 or by 26.1 per cent. By comparison, the Canadian population grew 9.1 per cent during this period—still a substantial growth rate, but far slower than the rate of growth of the federal workforce.

So how much has the rapid growth in federal government jobs cost taxpayers?

In our study, we consider what would have happened had the Trudeau government simply held the rate of growth in federal employment to the rate of population growth. Under this scenario, the federal government’s workforce today would be 57,170 fewer FTE workers than is in fact the case. Given that the average per-FTE cost of federal employment in 2022/23 was $130,583 (which includes salaries and other costs), the savings would have been substantial. Specifically, taxpayers would have saved $7.5 billion in 2022/23 alone. And if this money had not been spent, the federal deficit would have been 21.2 per cent smaller that year.

At all times, but particularly during a period of large deficits, the federal government should scrutinize all areas of spending including government employment. Personnel costs represent approximately half of the federal government’s operating costs, so it’s no surprise that growing employment costs have heavily contributed to Ottawa’s recent string of deficits.

According to the Trudeau government’s latest budget, Ottawa will run deficits for the foreseeable future and in 2029 net federal debt will reach $1.5 trillion. Unless the government reverses its spending trends, the cost of increased government employment will continue to strain federal finances in the years ahead, with taxpayers paying the bill.’

Ben Eisen

Senior Fellow, Fraser Institute