Energy
We can and must adjust to climate change – and not kill billions
From the Frontier Centre for Public Policy
By Paul Driessen and Ronald Stein
The futures of poor developing countries hinge on their ability to harness foundational elements: fuels, electricity, minerals and feed stocks made from fossil fuels and other materials that are the basis for all buildings, infrastructures and other technologies in industrialized countries.
We’ve always done so and have no right to tell others they can’t have modern living standards.
Earth’s climate has changed many times over four billion years, and 99.999% of those changes occurred before humans were on this planet. During that short time, humans adjusted their housing, clothing and agriculture in response to climate changes. Can we now control the climate?
Except for decades-long droughts or massive volcanic explosions that ended some civilizations, humanity generally adjusted successfully – through a Pleistocene Ice Age, a Little Ice Age, a Dust Bowl and other natural crises. Numerous state high temperature records were set in Dust Bowl years.
After putting our current “microsecond” on Earth into its proper perspective, we might therefore ask:
* With today’s vastly superior technologies, why would humanity possibly be unable to adjust to even a few-degrees temperature increase, especially with more atmospheric carbon dioxide helping plants grow faster and better, providing more food for animals and people?
* How dare the political, bureaucratic, academic and media ruling elites – who propagate GIGO computer predictions, calculated myths and outright disinformation – tell us we must implement their “green” policies immediately and universally … or humanity won’t survive manmade climate influences that are minuscule compared to the planetary, solar and galactic forces that really control Earth’s climate?
* How dare those elites tell Earth’s poorest people and nations they have no right to seek energy, health and living standards akin to what developed countries already enjoy?
Scientists, geophysicists and engineers have yet to explain or prove what caused the slight change in global temperatures we are experiencing today – much less the huge fluctuations that brought five successive mile-high continental glaciers, and sea levels that plunged 400 feet each time (because seawater was turned to ice), interspersed with warm inter-glacial periods like the one we’re in now.
Moreover, none of the dire predictions of cataclysmic temperature increases, sea level rise, and more frequent and intense storms have actually occurred, despite decades of climate chaos fearmongering.
Earth continues to experience climate changes, from natural forces and/or human activity. However, adjusting to small temperature, sea level and precipitation changes would inflict far less harm on our planet’s eight billion people than would ridding the world of fossil fuels that provide 80% of our energy and myriad products that helped to nearly double human life expectancy over the past 200 years.
Today, with fuels, products, housing and infrastructures that didn’t even exist one or two centuries ago, we can adjust to almost anything.
When it’s cold, we heat insulated homes and wear appropriate winter clothing; when it’s hot, we use air conditioning and wear lighter clothing. When it rains, we remain dry inside or with umbrellas; when it snows, we stay warm indoors or ski, bobsled and build snowmen.
Climate changes may impact us in many ways. But eliminating coal, oil and natural gas – with no 24/7/365 substitutes to replace them – would be immoral and evil. It would bring extreme shortages of reliable, affordable, essential energy, and of over 6,000 essential products derived from fossil fuels.
It would inflict billions of needless deaths from diseases, malnutrition, extreme heat and cold, and wild weather – on a planet where the human population has grown from 1 billion to 8 billion since Col. Edwin Drake drilled the first oilwell in 1859.
* Weather-related fatalities have virtually disappeared, thanks to accurate forecasting, storm warnings, modern buildings, and medicines and other petroleum-based products that weren’t available even 100 years ago.
* Fossil fuels for huge long-range jets and merchant ships move people, products, food and medications to support global trade, mobility, health and lifestyle choices. Indeed, more than 50,000 merchant ships, 20,000 commercial aircraft and 50,000 military aircraft use fuels manufactured from crude oil.
* Food to feed Americans and humanity would be far less abundant and affordable without the fertilizers, insecticides, herbicides, and tractor and transportation fuels that come from oil and natural gas.
* Everything powered by electricity utilizes petroleum-based derivatives: wind turbine blades and nacelle covers, wire insulation, iPhone and computer housings, defibrillators, myriad EV components and more.
Petroleum industry history demonstrates that crude oil was virtually useless until it could be transformed in refineries and chemical plants into derivatives that are the foundation for plastics, solvents, medications and other products that support industries, health and living standards. The same is true for everything else that comes out of holes in the ground.
Plants and rocks, metals and minerals have no inherent value unless we learn how to cook them, extract metals from them, bend and shape them, or otherwise convert them into something we can use.
Similarly, the futures of poor developing countries hinge on their ability to harness foundational elements: fuels, electricity, minerals and feed stocks made from fossil fuels and other materials that are the basis for all buildings, infrastructures and other technologies in industrialized countries.
For the 80% of humanity in Africa, Asia and Latin America who still live on less than $10 a day – and the billions who still have little to no access to electricity – life is severely complicated and compromised by the hypocritical “green” agendas of wealthy country elites who have benefited so tremendously from fossil fuels since the modern industrial era began around 1850. Before that:
* Life spans were around 40 years, and people seldom travelled more than 100 miles from their birthplaces.
* There was no electricity, since generating, transmitting and utilizing this amazing energy resource requires technologies made from oil and natural gas derivatives.
* That meant the world had no modern transportation, hospitals, medicines and medical equipment, kitchen and laundry appliances, radio and other electronics, cell phones and other telecommunications, air and space travel, central heating and air conditioning, or year-round shipping and preservation of meats, fruits and vegetables, to name just a few things most of us just take for granted.
There are no silver-bullet solutions to save people from natural or man-made climate changes. However, adjusting to those fluctuations is the only solution that minimizes fatalities which would be caused by the callous or unthinking elimination of the petroleum fuels and building blocks that truly make life possible and enjoyable, instead of nasty, brutish and short. The late Steven Lyazi explained it perfectly:
“Wind and solar are … short-term solutions …. to meet basic needs until [faraway Ugandan villages] can be connected to transmission lines and a grid. Only in that way can we have modern homes, heating, lighting, cooking, refrigeration, offices, factories, schools, shops and hospitals – so that we can enjoy the same living standards people in industrialized countries do (and think is their right). We deserve the same rights and lives.
“What is an extra degree, or even two degrees, of warming in places like Africa? It’s already incredibly hot here, and people are used to it. What we Africans worry about and need to fix are malnutrition and starvation, the absence of electricity, and killer diseases like malaria, tuberculosis, sleeping sickness and HIV/AIDS…. We just need to be set free to [get the job done].”
Paul Driessen is senior policy analyst for the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (www.CFACT.org), and author of articles and books on environmental, climate and human rights issues.
Ronald Stein is an engineer, senior policy advisor on energy literacy for the Heartland Institute and CFACT, and co-author of the Pulitzer Prize-nominated book “Clean Energy Exploitations.”
Energy
ELZABETH MAY HAS IT WRONG: An Alberta to Prince Rupert Oil Pipeline Will Contribute to Greater Global Oil Tanker Safety
From Energy Now
By Jim Warren
There she goes again. For the second time in three weeks Elizabeth May has tried to mislead Canadians. Most recently May incorrectly claimed oil tankers operating from Prince Rupert would be sailing through Canada’s most dangerous waters and the fourth most dangerous waters in the world.
The previous instance of deception was May’s false claim that Canada was legally bound by an international treaty to meet its green transition and net zero commitments. She told that whopper on November 17, the day the House of Commons narrowly approved the Liberal budget.
Since misconstruing the treaty, May has drawn media attention to a video she released which claims tankers leaving the proposed Northern Gateway 2.0 terminal will travel through the allegedly perilous Hecate Strait which separates the Haida Gwaii islands (formerly the Queen Charlotte Islands) from the West coast of the B.C.
Somebody better tell the B.C. Ferry Service their regularly scheduled runs across the Hecate Strait from Prince Rupert to Haida Gwaii are putting lives at risk.
Online fact checkers have determined the hyperbole regarding the safety of the strait traces back to 1992 and an extraneous comment in the Marine Weather Hazards Manual, West Coast Edition : A Guide to Local Forecasts and Conditions.
The manual indicates high winds can develop quickly over the strait making sailing hazardous for smaller vessels. This is followed by an unsubstantiated comment about it being the most dangerous waterway in Canada. Students of late 20th century history assume the comment is an embellishment based on an anecdote that was improperly inserted by whoever wrote the manual. It is not any sort of official ranking.
Oil tankers are obviously nothing like the small vessels that can encounter problems in the strait. And besides that, loaded tankers leaving Prince Rupert can avoid the Hecate Strait altogether by way of the Dixon Entrance which connects Prince Rupert to the wide open Pacific.
The map shown below was produced by The Hub, one of the fact-checking websites which has challenged May’s false claims about the hazards facing oil tankers at the Northern end of B.C.’s West coast.

Source: Falice Chin (2025, November 25).
https://thehub.ca/2025/11/25/fact-check-elizabeth-mays-tanker-ban-claims-dont-add-up/
May’s outright misrepresentations of the Paris Climate Agreement and the safety of shipping out of Prince Rupert reflect the environmental movement’s all too frequent exaggerations about the dangers posed by climate change and conventional energy.
The argument which follows shows how the Prince Rupert oil pipeline terminal can play a role in the effort to increase global oil tanker safety and reduce the danger of oil spills
If it weren’t for the dark (aka shadow) tanker fleets transporting Russian and Iranian oil, the environmentally alarmed could rest a lot easier about oil tanker safety. Over the past several decades there have been tremendous improvements in oil tanker design and safety technology.
The last major oil tanker spill on the West coast of North America was the 1989 Exxon Valdez oil spill, which resulted in 240,000 barrels of crude being dumped into Alaska’s Prince William Sound.
The Exxon Valdez disaster prompted the US Congress to pass the Oil Pollution Act of 1990. The Act required the gradual phasing in of double hulled construction for new oil tankers. The US Coast Guard claims that if the Exxon Valdez had been a double hulled vessel it would have cut the amount of oil spilled by 60%.
The US double hull requirement has since become the global standard for the design of new, large oil tankers. That being said, there are a number of countries and shipping companies that operate outside the confines of international best practices. These are the countries and companies which facilitate the operation of the world’s dark fleets.
In response to Russian’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the EU, NATO members and several other G20 countries imposed a set of trade and financial sanctions on Russia. The 2022 package was much tougher than sanctions imposed on Russia after its 2014 occupation of the Donbas and seizure of the Crimea.
The new sanctions imposed in 2022 included restrictions on Russia’s ability to export oil into international markets. While some of the sanctions soon proved to be rather toothless, efforts to prevent the world’s major shipping insurers like Lloyd’s of London from insuring ships carrying Russian oil were more successful. Owners of the world’s modern tanker fleets refused to transport Russian crude. It was simply too risky. A tanker accident and oil spill, especially along a coast line or near a major coastal urban centre can be monumentally expensive. Companies operating uninsured or poorly insured tankers would also find it difficult to obtain bank financing and new investors.
It was assumed that the oil sanctions would damage the Russian economy and seriously handicap its ability to wage war against Ukraine. After all, as US Senator John McCain famously said, “Russia is a gas station masquerading as a country.” Oil and natural gas have kept the Russian economy afloat since the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Russia’s friend, Iran, has been dodging oil sanctions for decades and happily shared that know how with its pals at the Kremlin. For starters, Russia’s oil exporters needed to gain access to tankers owned by operators who didn’t worry about insurance or if they were insured it was by shady companies operating out of countries that weren’t too worried about things like oil spills.
In relatively short order, Russian oil interests acquired a fleet of dark tankers which could be operated outside the bounds of properly insured shipping. Over the course of 2022 and 2023, the market price for old, used oil tankers which had outlived their best before dates but could still float more than doubled. Many of the derelict rust buckets lacked modern double hull construction.
The size of the world’s sanctions dodging dark fleets doubled after February 2022. Today it is estimated to be somewhere between 1,000 to 1,400 ships. Most of the ships are oil tankers but some are container vessels.
Since the vast majority of the older ships in the dark fleet are small to mid-size tankers it makes sense to transfer the Russian oil into larger tankers, on the open ocean, far from prying eyes. This reduces overall shipping costs and facilitates laundering of the oil. Once it is in the larger tanker Russian oil looks like anybody else’s oil. While transferring oil from ship to ship can and is done very safely, it becomes less safe when one of the ships is a floating pile of scrap iron.
In 2023, The Economist reported that Malaysia and the UAE were suddenly selling more than twice as much oil as they are capable of producing in a year. It’s alleged they are operating as middleman states which facilitate the laundering of Russian oil. The Economist claimed that Russian oil revenues fell in 2023. However, they returned close to pre-sanctions levels by the end of 2024. In other words, the sanctions have been a flop.
Despite the practice of transferring oil to larger ships, most Russian oil is transported all the way from Russia to final customers on smaller shadow fleet ships. Many of the ships in the dark fleet are chronic leakers and vulnerable to larger spill events. Luckily for the Russians, there are ports in China and several developing countries like India, and Malaysia willing to accept shadow fleet shipments. Some port operators are prepared to accept tankers insured by sketchy or fake insurers. Port authorities in these countries are willing to look the other way when antique tankers hemorrhage oil into their harbours. Not all spills and leaks are reported, so the full extent of the environmental harm is unknown.
It’s only a matter of time before one or more of the floating sieves in the dark tanker fleet causes a major oil spill in international waters that captures the world’s attention. Denmark has recently taken action against defective dark fleet tankers transporting Russian oil from the Baltic to the Atlantic. The ships have to pass through narrow straits controlled by Denmark where there is a somewhat higher risk of accidents. Last month, the Royal Danish Navy began randomly stopping and inspecting tankers carrying Russian oil.
The takeaway worth noting here is that should Northern Gateway 2.0 be approved and actually built, every barrel of oil shipped from the Prince Rupert terminal will be a barrel that Russia cannot sell via its shadow fleet. It will be a barrel of oil transported by double hulled, state of the art tankers. Furthermore every barrel of oil shipped from Prince Rupert will be a barrel of oil that will not subsidize Russia’s war against Ukraine.
Elizabeth May, you are wrong again. The oil pipeline from Alberta to Prince Rupert stands to contribute to greater global tanker safety in part because it can contribute to a loss of Russia’s market share in the Asia Pacific region. Shipments from Canada crossing the Pacific using large, modern tankers will cost far less than the cost of shipping over longer distances using smaller (less safe and efficient) ships to transport oil from Russia to that part of the world. Canadian producers should have the ability to sell their oil profitably at a lower price than Russian competitors need to obtain due to their much higher transportation costs.
Of course, profitability for Canadian exporters will depend on how high any carbon or other environmental taxes Ottawa imposes might be.
Business
Oil tanker traffic surges but spills stay at zero after Trans Mountain Expansion
From the Canadian Energy Centre
Bigger project maintains decades-long marine safety record
The Trans Mountain system continues its decades-long record of zero marine spills, even as oil tanker traffic has surged more than 800 per cent since the pipeline’s expansion in May 2024.
The number of tankers calling at Trans Mountain’s Westridge Marine Terminal in the Port of Vancouver in one month now rivals the number that used to go through in one year.
A global trend toward safer tanker operations
Trans Mountain’s safe operations are part of a worldwide trend. Global oil tanker traffic is up, yet spills are down, according to the International Tanker Owners Pollution Federation, a London, UK-based nonprofit that provides data and response support.
Transport Canada reports a 95 per cent drop in ship-source oil spills and spill volumes since the 1970s, driven by stronger ship design, improved response and better regulations.
“Tankers are now designed much more safely. They are double-hulled and compartmentalized to mitigate spills,” said Mike Lowry, spokesperson for the Western Canada Marine Response Corporation (WCMRC).
WCMRC: Ready to protect the West Coast
One of WCMRC’s new response vessels arrives in Barkley Sound. Photo courtesy Western Canada Marine Response Corporation
From eight marine bases including Vancouver and Prince Rupert, WCMRC stands at the ready to protect all 27,000 kilometres of Canada’s western coastline.
Lowry sees the corporation as similar to firefighters — training to respond to an event they hope they never have to see.
In September, it conducted a large-scale training exercise for a worst-case spill scenario. This included the KJ Gardner — Canada’s largest spill response vessel and a part of WCMRC’s fleet since 2024.
“It’s part of the work we do to make sure everybody is trained and prepared to use our assets just in case,” Lowry said.
Expanding capacity for Trans Mountain
The K.J. Gardner is the largest-ever spill response vessel in Canada. Photo courtesy Western Canada Marine Response Corporation
WCMRC’s fleet and capabilities were doubled with a $170-million expansion to support the Trans Mountain project.
Between 2012 and 2024, the company grew from 13 people and $12 million in assets to more than 200 people and $213 million in assets.
“About 80 per cent of our employees are mariners who work as deckhands, captains and marine engineers on our vessels,” Lowry said.
“Most of the incidents we respond to are small marine diesel spills — the last one was a fuel leak from a forest logging vessel near Nanaimo — so we have deployed our fleet in other ways.”
Tanker safety starts with strong rules and local expertise
Tanker loading at the Westridge Marine Terminal in the Port of Vancouver. Photo courtesy Trans Mountain Corporation
Speaking on the ARC Energy Ideas podcast, Trans Mountain CEO Mark Maki said tanker safety starts with strong regulations, including the use of local pilots to guide vessels into the harbour.
“On the Mississippi River, you have Mississippi River pilots because they know how the river behaves. Same thing would apply here in Vancouver Harbour. Tides are strong, so people who are familiar with the harbor and have years and decades of experience are making sure the ships go in and out safely,” Maki said.
“A high standard is applied to any ship that calls, and our facility has to meet very strict requirements. And we have rejected ships, just said, ‘Nope, that one doesn’t fit the bill.’ A ship calling on our facilities is very, very carefully looked at.”
Working with communities to protect sensitive areas
Beyond escorting ships and preparing for spills, WCMRC partners with coastal communities to map sensitive areas that need rapid protection including salmon streams, clam beds and culturally important sites like burial grounds.
“We want to empower communities and nations to be more prepared and involved,” Lowry said.
“They can help us identify and protect the areas that they value or view as sensitive by working with our mapping people to identify those areas in advance. If we know where those are ahead of time, we can develop a protection strategy for them.”
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