International
10 reasons Donald Trump is headed for a landslide victory over Kamala Harris
From LifeSiteNews
By Stephen Kokx
Republicans voting early, Democrats’ dislike for Kamala Harris, and polling and gambling numbers are all signs that the former president will win the election.
There is one week left in the presidential race and by all indications Donald Trump is headed for a landslide victory.
Many people I talk to tell me that they are fearful that it will be stolen from him. Here’s why I don’t think that’s likely at this point.
First, there are more registered Republicans in battleground states like Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and elsewhere than there were four years ago. This is a built-in statistical advantage for Trump.
🚨 BREAKING: LAST-MINUTE PENNSYLVANIA GOP SURGE in voter registration for the last week.
🔴 REP: +36,507
🔵 DEM: +19,744Per @UPTGOP, these are *backlogged* registrations.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024
North Carolina 🌄
Mail: 134,428 ballots
Early In-Person: 2,162,661 ballotsBallots by party registration:
🔴 Republican 34.3% | 789,048 votes (+102,419)
🔵 Democratic 33.6% | 772,899 votes (+89,634)
⚪️ Other 32.1% | 735,142 votes (+96,868) pic.twitter.com/OoYfaa79ER— VoteHub (@VoteHubUS) October 25, 2024
Second, early voting and mail-in voting show that more Republicans are casting their ballots before Election Day than Democrats this year, which has not been the case in previous presidential races.
ELECTION ALERT: Nevada GOP leads Democrats in early vote and absentee balloting by a statewide margin of 32,000
— Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) October 28, 2024
BREAKING: Pennsylvania Voter Registration Update 10/28 Shows Massive Surge for GOP
🟥GOP: +36,507 (+16,763)
🟦DEM: +19,744*This marks the new best single week of 2024, beating the records from the last two weeks.
— Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) October 28, 2024
Through 11 days of early voting in NC, Republicans still lead for the first time ever. Democrat ballots are down 350,000 versus 2020.
A sweeping Republican victory is at hand IF WE: keep voting, vote early, and volunteer to GOTV. https://t.co/O53s2yhmBY#ncpol pic.twitter.com/CSRDd1CKUj
— Dan Bishop (@danbishopnc) October 28, 2024
The Trump county of Waukesha, Wisconsin has a higher mail-in ballot return rate than deep-blue Dane.
The red county of Brown has a higher return rate than Blue Milwaukee.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024
Analyst Mark Halperin has predicted that if those trends continue, Trump will be declared the winner relatively early after polls close next Tuesday.
BREAKING: Donald Trump is set to become the next president of the United States, early voting data reveals.
This stunning revelation comes from veteran political journalist Mark Halperin.
“Make no mistake,” Halperin says, “if these numbers hold up in the states where we can… pic.twitter.com/eVGpxJYT5t
— The Vigilant Fox 🦊 (@VigilantFox) October 23, 2024
Third, key Democratic voting blocs aren’t enthusiastic about Harris, especially black and Hispanic men, who Trump has made historic gains with.
Dekalb in GA is at 38.7 percent turnout
White turnout in Dekalb is 50.4 and black turnout is 35.8
Population of Dekalb
Black (non-Hispanic): 53.7%
White (non-Hispanic): 29.6%Vote share :
Black – 43.6%
White – 38.69%White voteshare is outperforming black relative to their…
— Indian American Voice (@Freespeech212) October 26, 2024
That fact was recognized by Barack Obama a week ago when he told the media that “the brothas” do not have the same “energy” for Harris as they did when he himself ran for president.
Barack Obama SOUNDS THE ALARM, says energy is down with black men:
“That seems to be more pronounced with the brothers…”
He then says black men should vote for Kamala because she knows the “struggles” of being black.
Pure identity politics from Obama. pic.twitter.com/LvlSUVZKBx
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 11, 2024
Obama’s comment did not go unnoticed. During an MSNBC town hall at a barbershop in Philadelphia, black males told reporter Alex Wagner they were “offended” by Obama lecturing them how to vote.
@WagnerTonight visits a West Philadelphia barbershop to talk with Black men about the role gender plays in the 2024 election, Obama’s recent remarks and their thoughts on supporting Kamala Harris. pic.twitter.com/HM4qpRIBKl
— MSNBC (@MSNBC) October 23, 2024
Left-wing MSNBC anchor Andrea Mitchell has also admitted that Harris has a “big problem with men,” as have other websites.
Fourth, if you look at where Trump is campaigning this week, you can only conclude that his internal polling indicates he has shored up enough support in key battleground states that he can afford to go elsewhere to expand the map.
To be sure, he will still be visiting Wisconsin, North Carolina, and other Midwestern states over the next seven days, but he’s also headed to New Mexico, where, according to one poll he is within the margin of error.
Recent polling shows that 45th President Donald Trump is closing in on Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris, with just a three-point difference between them in the latest KA Consulting poll.
Trump is polling at 46% while Harris holds 49%, but the margin of error of… pic.twitter.com/D0223eyJdX
— Republican Party of New Mexico (@NewMexicoGOP) October 22, 2024
Trump’s decision is notable because New Mexico hasn’t voted for a Republican president since George Bush in 2004. Mark Halperin has said, “if Trump wins New Mexico, he’s going to win in a landslide.”
🚨 New Mexico is within the margin of error for Trump… It would be first Republican to win the presidential race in NM in 20 years.
It’s happening… History is meant to be broken! pic.twitter.com/bvaqPk9wDC
— Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman) October 22, 2024
Trump is also headed to Virginia, another historically Democrat state. Virginia elected Republican Glenn Youngkin in 2022. He is fighting to prevent illegal immigrants from voting and has instituted a number of other reforms that will likely have the effect of ensuring the count is accurate.
Trump’s daughter-in-law, Lara Trump, appeared with Youngkin in the state last week. It’s clear the campaign believes he has a chance there.
🚨 NEW 2024 Virginia GENERAL ELECTION POLL: QUANTUS INSIGHTS 🚨
🔵 Harris: 49%
🔴 Trump: 48%
🟡 Other: 3%725 LV | Oct 22-24 | MoE 3.6%
Sponsored by: Trending Politics NewsCross tabs and full report at 2pm CST. pic.twitter.com/5jsSo8doUT
— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) October 25, 2024
Fifth, almost all polling data in recent days, even those from left-leaning organizations, shows a decisive break in Trump’s favor.
Trump now leads in all seven swing states according to the Real Clear Politics average.
This is a trend that began shortly after the vice presidential debate.
And if you’re somehow in the camp that Kamala’s interview with Fox News somehow helped her, good luck with that. pic.twitter.com/RpDIE5u1mS
— Joe Concha (@JoeConchaTV) October 17, 2024
Harris’ decision to skip the Al Smith Dinner and her awful appearances on Fox, MSNBC, and her CNN town hall with Anderson Cooper are likely to blame.
NEW: CNN’s Scott Jennings says Kamala Harris is a “double-threat” because she can’t think on her feet and can’t answer the expected questions.
CNN has railed on Harris after her town hall event.
Here are the top reactions:
6. Axelrod: She is word salad city.
5. Jennings:… pic.twitter.com/Mdrr46uzbz
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 24, 2024
The “vibe shift,” as Tucker Carlson has called it, has been so dramatic that even liberal outlets like CNN are admitting that Trump very may well capture the popular vote.
🚨 CNN ANALYST: Trump has a real shot at winning the national popular vote. This is something he'd love to do. It would be historic.pic.twitter.com/oOADpzlJzm
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 25, 2024
Michigan and New Hampshire are also states he has improved in in recent days.
#NEW MICHIGAN poll
🔴 Trump 50% (+1)
🔵 Harris 49%Last poll: Harris +1
Patriot Polling | 10/24-26 | N=796RV
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024
Starting to remind me a lot of the eve of 2016. Except this time he actually leads the other battlegrounds… https://t.co/ZIlxkBI2h1
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 28, 2024
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Praecones Analytica / @NewHampJournal poll:Trump 50.2% (+0.4)
Harris 49.8%622 RV, 10/24-26
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 28, 2024
At least in 2020 there was a plausible explanation for Joe Biden’s supposed victory as many polls showed he was ahead going into Election Day. This time around, that argument is not on the table.
Sixth, Democrats have no end game. They are trying to link Trump to “fascism.” This is an awful closing message, especially for a candidate who promised to “unite” Americans. This shows how desperate they are.
Hillary Clinton, for example, went on MSNBC and laughably claimed Trump’s epic Madison Square Garden rally Sunday night was a Neo-Nazi rally. Why she didn’t use the term “deplorables” is beyond me.
Hillary Clinton popped up just in time to call (over) half the country, N*zis.
She says President Donald Trump is going to Madison Square Garden in my city—New York City—to re-enact the 1939 Madison Square Garden N*zi rally.
What an irresponsible and reprehensible thing to say. pic.twitter.com/1ZfCa7HHlc
— Rudy W. Giuliani (@RudyGiuliani) October 25, 2024
During its own coverage of the event, MSNBC ludicrously compared it a pro-Hitler gathering there in 1939 while failing to note that Bill Clinton himself accepted the Democratic Party’s nomination at the same arena in 1992.
NEW: MSNBC directly compares Donald Trump's Madison Square Garden rally to a 1939 N*zi rally, directly compares Donald Trump to Adolf H*tler.
You don't hate the media enough.
"But that jamboree happening right now, you see it there on your screen in that place is particularly… pic.twitter.com/iGY6Mph4Ms
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 28, 2024
President Bill Clinton attending his Nazi Rally at Madison Square Garden in 1992. pic.twitter.com/gSqhlKBfLZ
— Dustin Grage (@GrageDustin) October 27, 2024
Even ABC’s Jonathan Karl couldn’t deny that the rally was a pivotal moment in the campaign.
“Trump has created a movement, there is no doubt. I cannot think of another Republican figure of my lifetime who could’ve come into a Democrat city like New York and put together anything like that,” he said.
ABC’s Jonathan Karl: "Madison Square Garden was PACKED… Trump has created a movement, there is no doubt. I cannot think of another Republican figure of my lifetime who could've come into a Democrat city like New York and put together anything like that." pic.twitter.com/ZrYuvHV9jw
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 28, 2024
Conservative Charlie Kirk has theorized that the constant Hitler references are intentional, and that Democrats are laying the groundwork for yet another assassination attempt.
The purpose of the Hitler messaging is very simple.
They want to create permission for someone to try and murder Trump while also creating urgency for their rank and file to commit micro actions of fraud on the ground.
If you believe you are actually running against Hitler,…
— Charlie Kirk (@charliekirk11) October 28, 2024
Only a campaign that realizes it is on its death bed does such desperate things.
Seventh, Democrats are admitting that Trump is doing exceptionally well.
Left-wing New York City Mayor Eric Adams told the press this weekend that Trump is not a fascist.
NYC mayor Eric Adams says Trump isn’t a fascist, rebukes comparing him to Hitler, says Trump should be able to safely have his rally at Madison Square Garden, condemns overheated rhetoric of fascism. This is well said: pic.twitter.com/2ExCPKiIqi
— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) October 27, 2024
Progressive commentator Cenk Uygar commented that Trump “looked presidential and personable” during his Joe Rogan interview. He called Harris a robot who acts like a “talking point machine.”
WATCH: Even Cenk Uygur admits that Trump's podcast with Joe Rogan was amazing.
"I thought Trump looked presidential and personable. I hate that, but he did… Standard politicians including Kamala Harris are talking point machines, that's not what Trump is doing.
"He doesn't… pic.twitter.com/t30GypxSsF
— George (@BehizyTweets) October 28, 2024
Former CNN anchor Chris Cuomo, who relentlessly pushed the COVID shot and is now injured from receiving it, hosted a town hall with JD Vance on News Nation. Cuomo could not deny that Vance and Trump appeal to many ordinary voters.
Here’s my take on what just happened in my town hall with JD Vance. pic.twitter.com/yL47loL6vm
— Christopher C. Cuomo (@ChrisCuomo) October 25, 2024
If Adams, Uygar, and Cuomo are admitting this, then regular Americans, even those who have supported Democrats in the past, are thinking it too.
Eighth, the betting markets favor Trump.
BREAKING: Donald Trump winning in all the swing states as per betting markets. pic.twitter.com/UQHpAlvPRy
— DogeDesigner (@cb_doge) October 27, 2024
Alright, so this is a pretty unscientific way to gauge an election, but money talks, does it not?
If the oddsmakers are hedging their bets and predicting a Trump win, then chances are they know what they are doing. If they didn’t, they’d be out of business. I don’t think it is realistic to think they are up to some sinister game by tinkering with the numbers right now given all the other trends mentioned above.
Ninth, there is no obvious explanation for a Harris victory if a steal were to occur, as there is no voting bloc she can point to right now that could win the election for her.
Over the past two months, Trump has enlisted a small army of politicians, influencers, and media personalities to cast as wide a net for him as possible.
While Tucker Carlson is out riling up young male voters, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is courting moderate Democrats and health-conscious medical freedom activists.
What’s more, while Tulsi Gabbard is on the stump speaking with women, Elon Musk is making it easier for tech executives and business owners to support Trump.
What segment of the voting population is left for Harris to convince in this last week of the campaign? The sponge has been rung dry and the constant heckling of her at her rallies suggests folks have grown tired of her constant lies and evasiveness.
Tenth, there is no “October Surprise” that could derail Trump’s campaign at this point, especially with voting already underway.
Trump has been in the public spotlight for well over 40 years. He is a known entity, and the American people are preferring him — yet again — to the Democratic option, despite his personal flaws and scandals.
It is simply not possible for Harris to get the polls to go back to even and then rally not just the Democratic base but crucial independent voters next Tuesday.
As Carlson said at a rally in Georgia last week, if the Deep State does cheat and Harris is declared the winner, the people won’t put up with it this time. It will be too obvious that it was fraudulent as all the traditional indicators show she is headed for an historic defeat. I could be wrong, and I have been before, but I’m more inclined today to place a bet on Trump on one of those websites than Harris.
International
Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy Outline Sweeping Plan to Cut Federal Regulations And Staffing
From the Daily Caller News Foundation
Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy published an op-ed Wednesday in the Wall Street Journal that revealed their huge plans for the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).
Civil service protections won’t shield federal workers from mass layoffs, according to the op-ed. Musk and Ramaswamy outlined a sweeping plan to cut federal regulations and staffing, marking the most detailed glimpse yet into Trump’s downsizing strategy.
The pair, acting as “outside volunteers,” pledged to collaborate with Trump’s transition team to assemble a “lean team of small-government crusaders.” This team, they said, would work closely with the White House Office of Management and Budget to implement their vision.
The initiative focuses on three core objectives: cutting regulations, reducing administrative overhead, and achieving cost savings. Legal experts and advanced technology will help identify regulations that overstep congressional authority. These rules would be presented to Trump, who could halt enforcement and begin the repeal process through executive action.
BREAKING: Donald Trump has officially announced Elon Musk & Vivek Ramaswamy will lead Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) pic.twitter.com/9WNn5FojN1
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) November 13, 2024
“A drastic reduction in federal regulations provides sound industrial logic for mass head-count reductions across the federal bureaucracy. DOGE intends to work with embedded appointees in agencies to identify the minimum number of employees required at an agency for it to perform its constitutionally permissible and statutorily mandated functions,” the op-ed revealed.
Musk and Ramaswamy acknowledged the impact of their plan and said displaced workers should be treated with dignity, proposing incentives like early retirement packages and severance pay to ease their transition into private-sector roles. Despite common assumptions, civil service protections won’t prevent these layoffs, they contended, as long as the terminations are framed as reductions in force rather than targeting specific employees.
Musk and Ramaswamy also advocated for relocating federal agencies out of Washington, D.C., and encouraging voluntary resignations from remote workers unwilling to return to the office full-time. “If federal employees don’t want to show up, American taxpayers shouldn’t pay them for the Covid-era privilege of staying home,” they said.
Ramaswamy said Tuesday that federal employees must return to the office full-time. He noted on X, previously known as Twitter, that unions are hastily revising agreements to prevent job losses, claiming the prospect of a five-day office schedule has left some “in tears.”
Trump announced that Musk and Ramaswamy will co-lead a newly created DOGE during his second term. The duo will work with the White House Office of Management and Budget to streamline federal agencies, reduce wasteful spending, and eliminate excessive regulations.
Energy
What does a Trump presidency means for Canadian energy?
From Resource Works
Heather-Exner Pirot of the Business Council of Canada and the Macdonald-Laurier Institute spoke with Resource Works about the transition to Donald Trump’s energy policy, hopes for Keystone XL’s revival, EVs, and more.
Do you think it is accurate to say that Trump’s energy policy will be the complete opposite of Joe Biden’s? Or will it be more nuanced than that?
It’s more nuanced than that. US oil and gas production did grow under Biden, as it did under Obama. It’s actually at record levels right now. The US is producing the most oil and gas per day that any nation has ever produced in the history of the world.
That said, the federal government in the US has imposed relatively little control over production. In the absence of restrictive emissions and climate policies that we have in Canada, most of the oil production decisions have been made based on market forces. With prices where they’re at currently, there’s not a lot of shareholder appetite to grow that significantly.
The few areas you can expect change: leasing more federal lands and off shore areas for oil and gas development; rescinding the pause in LNG export permits; eliminating the new methane fee; and removing Biden’s ambitious vehicle fuel efficiency standards, which would subsequently maintain gas demand.
I would say on nuclear energy, there won’t be a reversal, as that file has earned bipartisan support. If anything, a Trump Admin would push regulators to approve SMRs models and projects faster. They want more of all kinds of energy.
Is Keystone XL a dead letter, or is there enough planning and infrastructure still in-place to restart that project?
I haven’t heard any appetite in the private sector to restart that in the short term. I know Alberta is pushing it. I do think it makes sense for North American energy security – energy dominance, as the Trump Admin calls – and I believe there is a market for more Canadian oil in the USA; it makes economic sense. But it’s still looked at as too politically risky for investors.
To have it move forward I think you would need some government support to derisk it. A TMX model, even. And clear evidence of social license and bipartisan support so it can survive the next election on both sides of the border.
Frankly, Northern Gateway is the better project for Canada to restart, under a Conservative government.
Keystone XL was cancelled by Biden prior to the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Do you think that the reshoring/friendshoring of the energy supply is a far bigger priority now?
It absolutely is a bigger priority. But it’s also a smaller threat. You need to appreciate that North America has become much more energy independent and secure than it has ever been. Both US and Canada are producing at record levels. Combined, we now produce more than the Middle East (41 million boe/d vs 38 million boe/d). And Canada has taken a growing share of US imports (now 60%) even as their import levels have declined.
But there are two risks on the horizon: the first is that oil is a non renewable resource and the US is expected to reach a peak in shale oil production in the next few years. No one wants to go back to the days when OPEC + had dominant market power. I think there will be a lot of demand for Canadian oil to fill the gap left by any decline in US oil production. And Norway’s production is expected to peak imminently as well.
The second is the need from our allies for LNG. Europe is still dependent on Russia for natural gas, energy demand is growing in Asia, and high industrial energy costs are weighing on both. More and cheaper LNG from North America is highly important for the energy security of our allies, and thus the western alliance as it faces a challenge from Russia, China and Iran.
Canada has little choice but to follow the US lead on many issues such as EVs and tariffs on China. Regarding energy policy, does Canada’s relative strength in the oil and gas sector give it a stronger hand when it comes to having an independent energy policy?
I don’t think we want an independent energy policy. I would argue we both benefit from alignment and interdependence. And we’ve built up that interdependence on the infrastructure side over decades: pipelines, refineries, transmission, everything.
That interdependence gives us a stronger hand in other areas of the economy. Any tariffs on Canadian energy would absolutely not be in American’s interests in terms of their energy dominance agenda. Trump wants to drop energy costs, not hike them.
I think we can leverage tariff exemptions in energy to other sectors, such as manufacturing, which is more vulnerable. But you have to make the case for why that makes sense for US, not just Canada. And that’s because we need as much industrial capacity in the west as we can muster to counter China and Russia. America First is fine, but this is not the time for America Alone.
Do you see provinces like Alberta and Saskatchewan being more on-side with the US than the federal government when it comes to energy?
Of course. The North American capital that is threatening their economic interests is not Washington DC; it’s Ottawa.
I think you are seeing some recognition – much belated and fast on the heels of an emissions cap that could shut in over 2 million boe of production! – that what makes Canada important to the United States and in the world is our oil and gas and uranium and critical minerals and agricultural products.
We’ve spent almost a decade constraining those sectors. There is no doubt a Trump Admin will be complicated, but at the very least it’s clarified how important those sectors are to our soft and hard power.
It’s not too late for Canada to flex its muscles on the world stage and use its resources to advance our national interests, and our allies’ interests. In fact, it’s absolutely critical that we do so.
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